The China Meteorological Administration's latest update at 21:40 on April 28, 2026, confirms a daytime maximum of 18°C in Wuhan under moderate rain, persistent cloud cover exceeding 80% early, and northeast winds at 3-4 levels (16-24 km/h), which sharply limit solar insolation and suppress heating from a cool frontal air mass. Observational data from Tianhe International Airport station indicate midday peaks near 18°C before afternoon showers cooled conditions to 15.6°C by evening, marking a sharp drop from 25°C the prior day against late-April climatological averages of 23-24°C. This authoritative guidance and real-time alignment underpin the market's 100% implied probability on 18°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening clearing with renewed diurnal heating to nudge the official high to 19°C, though resolution awaits finalized Wunderground records for the airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 28?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 28?
18°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,280 Vol.
$62,280 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,280 Vol.
$62,280 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
12°C or below
$1,776 Vol.
No
13°C
$2,167 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,204 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,413 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,376 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,584 Vol.
No
18°C
$19,162 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$10,542 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,644 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,128 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$8,284 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The China Meteorological Administration's latest update at 21:40 on April 28, 2026, confirms a daytime maximum of 18°C in Wuhan under moderate rain, persistent cloud cover exceeding 80% early, and northeast winds at 3-4 levels (16-24 km/h), which sharply limit solar insolation and suppress heating from a cool frontal air mass. Observational data from Tianhe International Airport station indicate midday peaks near 18°C before afternoon showers cooled conditions to 15.6°C by evening, marking a sharp drop from 25°C the prior day against late-April climatological averages of 23-24°C. This authoritative guidance and real-time alignment underpin the market's 100% implied probability on 18°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening clearing with renewed diurnal heating to nudge the official high to 19°C, though resolution awaits finalized Wunderground records for the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$62,280End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The China Meteorological Administration's latest update at 21:40 on April 28, 2026, confirms a daytime maximum of 18°C in Wuhan under moderate rain, persistent cloud cover exceeding 80% early, and northeast winds at 3-4 levels (16-24 km/h), which sharply limit solar insolation and suppress heating from a cool frontal air mass. Observational data from Tianhe International Airport station indicate midday peaks near 18°C before afternoon showers cooled conditions to 15.6°C by evening, marking a sharp drop from 25°C the prior day against late-April climatological averages of 23-24°C. This authoritative guidance and real-time alignment underpin the market's 100% implied probability on 18°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening clearing with renewed diurnal heating to nudge the official high to 19°C, though resolution awaits finalized Wunderground records for the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,280End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The China Meteorological Administration's latest update at 21:40 on April 28, 2026, confirms a daytime maximum of 18°C in Wuhan under moderate rain, persistent cloud cover exceeding 80% early, and northeast winds at 3-4 levels (16-24 km/h), which sharply limit solar insolation and suppress heating from a cool frontal air mass. Observational data from Tianhe International Airport station indicate midday peaks near 18°C before afternoon showers cooled conditions to 15.6°C by evening, marking a sharp drop from 25°C the prior day against late-April climatological averages of 23-24°C. This authoritative guidance and real-time alignment underpin the market's 100% implied probability on 18°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening clearing with renewed diurnal heating to nudge the official high to 19°C, though resolution awaits finalized Wunderground records for the airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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