Recent forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's August 24 maximum near 34–36°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal rainfall, consistent with ongoing regional heat. This supports the tight market split between 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes, with traders weighing slight model differences in daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. Historical late-August averages hover around 32–34°C, though recent days have exceeded 35°C under similar patterns. Key variables include any afternoon convective development or wind shifts that could cap or enhance peak readings, with official Chinese meteorological updates expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
36°C 36%
35°C 31%
37°C or higher 18%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
6%
34°C
11%
35°C
31%
36°C
36%
37°C or higher
18%
36°C 36%
35°C 31%
37°C or higher 18%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$27 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C
$8 Vol.
11%
35°C
$2 Vol.
31%
36°C
$11 Vol.
36%
37°C or higher
$99 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's August 24 maximum near 34–36°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal rainfall, consistent with ongoing regional heat. This supports the tight market split between 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes, with traders weighing slight model differences in daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. Historical late-August averages hover around 32–34°C, though recent days have exceeded 35°C under similar patterns. Key variables include any afternoon convective development or wind shifts that could cap or enhance peak readings, with official Chinese meteorological updates expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$151End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's August 24 maximum near 34–36°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal rainfall, consistent with ongoing regional heat. This supports the tight market split between 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes, with traders weighing slight model differences in daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. Historical late-August averages hover around 32–34°C, though recent days have exceeded 35°C under similar patterns. Key variables include any afternoon convective development or wind shifts that could cap or enhance peak readings, with official Chinese meteorological updates expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$151End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's August 24 maximum near 34–36°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal rainfall, consistent with ongoing regional heat. This supports the tight market split between 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes, with traders weighing slight model differences in daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. Historical late-August averages hover around 32–34°C, though recent days have exceeded 35°C under similar patterns. Key variables include any afternoon convective development or wind shifts that could cap or enhance peak readings, with official Chinese meteorological updates expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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