Recent short-range model runs indicate a probable overnight minimum near 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. The near-even market odds between a 32°C-or-higher floor and a 22°C-or-lower outcome capture residual uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and light northeasterly flow that can either trap heat or allow modest drops. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–26°C, yet the current warm anomaly and urban heat-island effect in the Yangtze basin keep cooler thresholds viable only if stronger ventilation develops. Forecasters will update guidance with the next 00Z and 12Z cycles ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
22°C or below 94%
32°C or higher 91%
31°C 87%
30°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
94%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
46%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
87%
32°C or higher
91%
22°C or below 94%
32°C or higher 91%
31°C 87%
30°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
94%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
46%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$5 Vol.
51%
31°C
$5 Vol.
87%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs indicate a probable overnight minimum near 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. The near-even market odds between a 32°C-or-higher floor and a 22°C-or-lower outcome capture residual uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and light northeasterly flow that can either trap heat or allow modest drops. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–26°C, yet the current warm anomaly and urban heat-island effect in the Yangtze basin keep cooler thresholds viable only if stronger ventilation develops. Forecasters will update guidance with the next 00Z and 12Z cycles ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs indicate a probable overnight minimum near 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. The near-even market odds between a 32°C-or-higher floor and a 22°C-or-lower outcome capture residual uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and light northeasterly flow that can either trap heat or allow modest drops. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–26°C, yet the current warm anomaly and urban heat-island effect in the Yangtze basin keep cooler thresholds viable only if stronger ventilation develops. Forecasters will update guidance with the next 00Z and 12Z cycles ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model runs indicate a probable overnight minimum near 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. The near-even market odds between a 32°C-or-higher floor and a 22°C-or-lower outcome capture residual uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and light northeasterly flow that can either trap heat or allow modest drops. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–26°C, yet the current warm anomaly and urban heat-island effect in the Yangtze basin keep cooler thresholds viable only if stronger ventilation develops. Forecasters will update guidance with the next 00Z and 12Z cycles ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions