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icon for How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Sep 16

Oct 28

Dec 9

Jan 27, 2027

Sep 16

Oct 28

Dec 9

Jan 27, 2027

3 25%

2 22%

1 20%

4+ 19%

Polymarket
NEW

3 25%

2 22%

1 20%

4+ 19%

Polymarket
NEW

0

$320 Vol.

15%

1

$345 Vol.

20%

2

$320 Vol.

22%

3

$340 Vol.

25%

4+

$690 Vol.

19%

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated August CPI readings showing 3.4% headline and 2.4% core inflation, alongside resilient labor data, have reinforced market-implied odds of a 25bp or larger rate hike at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting near 88%. This policy backdrop creates closely contested dissent probabilities, with 1-3 dissents each priced between 20-24.5%, as traders weigh how many regional bank presidents or governors will oppose the consensus path. Recent meetings featured three hawkish dissents favoring tighter policy, while forward-looking factors such as energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions and the proximity to midterms introduce uncertainty over whether additional hawks join or dovish members push back. Upcoming September employment and inflation prints could shift the balance by clarifying the committee's reaction function ahead of the vote.

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,015
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated August CPI readings showing 3.4% headline and 2.4% core inflation, alongside resilient labor data, have reinforced market-implied odds of a 25bp or larger rate hike at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting near 88%. This policy backdrop creates closely contested dissent probabilities, with 1-3 dissents each priced between 20-24.5%, as traders weigh how many regional bank presidents or governors will oppose the consensus path. Recent meetings featured three hawkish dissents favoring tighter policy, while forward-looking factors such as energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions and the proximity to midterms introduce uncertainty over whether additional hawks join or dovish members push back. Upcoming September employment and inflation prints could shift the balance by clarifying the committee's reaction function ahead of the vote.

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,015
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3" at 25%, followed by "2" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

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The current frontrunner for "How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?" is "3" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.