Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23 amid a persistent heat dome, with recent observations showing lows near 75–78°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Model consensus remains tight on minimal overnight cooling due to high humidity and limited cloud cover, yet slight variations in steering patterns or a weak frontal passage could drop readings into the mid-70s. A noted tropical moisture threat around August 23–25 introduces the main uncertainty, as added cloudiness or rainfall could suppress radiational cooling and keep the minimum higher, while drier air would favor the lower range. Traders weigh these short-term model spreads against Austin’s August climatology of 74–75°F average lows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
71°F or below 78%
90°F or higher 57%
84-85°F 40%
76-77°F 32%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
78%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
57%
71°F or below 78%
90°F or higher 57%
84-85°F 40%
76-77°F 32%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$20 Vol.
78%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
29%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
32%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
22%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
40%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$25 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23 amid a persistent heat dome, with recent observations showing lows near 75–78°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Model consensus remains tight on minimal overnight cooling due to high humidity and limited cloud cover, yet slight variations in steering patterns or a weak frontal passage could drop readings into the mid-70s. A noted tropical moisture threat around August 23–25 introduces the main uncertainty, as added cloudiness or rainfall could suppress radiational cooling and keep the minimum higher, while drier air would favor the lower range. Traders weigh these short-term model spreads against Austin’s August climatology of 74–75°F average lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$75End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23 amid a persistent heat dome, with recent observations showing lows near 75–78°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Model consensus remains tight on minimal overnight cooling due to high humidity and limited cloud cover, yet slight variations in steering patterns or a weak frontal passage could drop readings into the mid-70s. A noted tropical moisture threat around August 23–25 introduces the main uncertainty, as added cloudiness or rainfall could suppress radiational cooling and keep the minimum higher, while drier air would favor the lower range. Traders weigh these short-term model spreads against Austin’s August climatology of 74–75°F average lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23 amid a persistent heat dome, with recent observations showing lows near 75–78°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Model consensus remains tight on minimal overnight cooling due to high humidity and limited cloud cover, yet slight variations in steering patterns or a weak frontal passage could drop readings into the mid-70s. A noted tropical moisture threat around August 23–25 introduces the main uncertainty, as added cloudiness or rainfall could suppress radiational cooling and keep the minimum higher, while drier air would favor the lower range. Traders weigh these short-term model spreads against Austin’s August climatology of 74–75°F average lows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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