Recent model guidance and seasonal cooling trends in late August support trader focus on Beijing's overnight minimum for the 24th, with historical climatology placing typical lows near 21–22°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover. Thunderstorm activity, common this time of year due to East Asian monsoon remnants, can enhance radiative cooling after sunset when skies clear, potentially pushing readings toward 19°C or below, while persistent cloud or weak southerly flow may hold minima near 23–24°C. Ensemble spread in global and regional models remains wide because steering patterns and precipitation timing are still evolving, creating the tight clustering around these thresholds. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
19°C or below 77%
29°C or higher 48%
21°C 43%
23°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
77%
20°C
15%
21°C
43%
22°C
24%
23°C
35%
24°C
29%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C
23%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
48%
19°C or below 77%
29°C or higher 48%
21°C 43%
23°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Vol.
77%
20°C
$5 Vol.
15%
21°C
$5 Vol.
43%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$310 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
29%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$5 Vol.
8%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and seasonal cooling trends in late August support trader focus on Beijing's overnight minimum for the 24th, with historical climatology placing typical lows near 21–22°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover. Thunderstorm activity, common this time of year due to East Asian monsoon remnants, can enhance radiative cooling after sunset when skies clear, potentially pushing readings toward 19°C or below, while persistent cloud or weak southerly flow may hold minima near 23–24°C. Ensemble spread in global and regional models remains wide because steering patterns and precipitation timing are still evolving, creating the tight clustering around these thresholds. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$335End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and seasonal cooling trends in late August support trader focus on Beijing's overnight minimum for the 24th, with historical climatology placing typical lows near 21–22°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover. Thunderstorm activity, common this time of year due to East Asian monsoon remnants, can enhance radiative cooling after sunset when skies clear, potentially pushing readings toward 19°C or below, while persistent cloud or weak southerly flow may hold minima near 23–24°C. Ensemble spread in global and regional models remains wide because steering patterns and precipitation timing are still evolving, creating the tight clustering around these thresholds. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$335End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance and seasonal cooling trends in late August support trader focus on Beijing's overnight minimum for the 24th, with historical climatology placing typical lows near 21–22°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover. Thunderstorm activity, common this time of year due to East Asian monsoon remnants, can enhance radiative cooling after sunset when skies clear, potentially pushing readings toward 19°C or below, while persistent cloud or weak southerly flow may hold minima near 23–24°C. Ensemble spread in global and regional models remains wide because steering patterns and precipitation timing are still evolving, creating the tight clustering around these thresholds. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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