**Current forecast consensus from meteorological models indicates a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 11 around 23–26°C, supported by northerly winds and mostly clear to scattered cloud conditions that enable moderate overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical humidity levels.** Recent days have featured daytime highs of 31–34°C with overnight lows near 24–25°C, consistent with seasonal norms for the region where average September lows hover around 24°C. The balanced market probabilities on the 19°C-or-below and 29°C-or-higher tails highlight trader recognition of short-term forecast uncertainty, particularly variations in exact cloud cover, wind speeds, and dew-point depression that could enhance or limit cooling. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 11?
29°C or higher 82%
23°C 45%
20°C 40%
26°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
40%
21°C
21%
22°C
22%
23°C
27%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C or higher
82%
29°C or higher 82%
23°C 45%
20°C 40%
26°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
$126 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$30 Vol.
21%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$22 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
40%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from meteorological models indicates a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 11 around 23–26°C, supported by northerly winds and mostly clear to scattered cloud conditions that enable moderate overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical humidity levels.**
Recent days have featured daytime highs of 31–34°C with overnight lows near 24–25°C, consistent with seasonal norms for the region where average September lows hover around 24°C. The balanced market probabilities on the 19°C-or-below and 29°C-or-higher tails highlight trader recognition of short-term forecast uncertainty, particularly variations in exact cloud cover, wind speeds, and dew-point depression that could enhance or limit cooling. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$178End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from meteorological models indicates a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 11 around 23–26°C, supported by northerly winds and mostly clear to scattered cloud conditions that enable moderate overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical humidity levels.**
Recent days have featured daytime highs of 31–34°C with overnight lows near 24–25°C, consistent with seasonal norms for the region where average September lows hover around 24°C. The balanced market probabilities on the 19°C-or-below and 29°C-or-higher tails highlight trader recognition of short-term forecast uncertainty, particularly variations in exact cloud cover, wind speeds, and dew-point depression that could enhance or limit cooling. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$178End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from meteorological models indicates a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 11 around 23–26°C, supported by northerly winds and mostly clear to scattered cloud conditions that enable moderate overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical humidity levels.** Recent days have featured daytime highs of 31–34°C with overnight lows near 24–25°C, consistent with seasonal norms for the region where average September lows hover around 24°C. The balanced market probabilities on the 19°C-or-below and 29°C-or-higher tails highlight trader recognition of short-term forecast uncertainty, particularly variations in exact cloud cover, wind speeds, and dew-point depression that could enhance or limit cooling. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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