Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Houston’s August 23 overnight low near 79–81°F under persistent high pressure, with limited cloud cover and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s supporting modest radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F because historical August minima average 77°F, yet current model runs show slight spread from variable boundary-layer moisture and light winds that could allow either a dip into the mid-70s or hold near 80°F. The near-even odds between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in how quickly drier air advects overnight versus lingering Gulf humidity, with resolution hinging on the 23rd’s final NWS minimum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 23?
71°F or below 78%
90°F or higher 78%
72-73°F 49%
86-87°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
78%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
49%
88-89°F
46%
90°F or higher
78%
71°F or below 78%
90°F or higher 78%
72-73°F 49%
86-87°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$5 Vol.
78%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
49%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$20 Vol.
49%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
46%
90°F or higher
$45 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Houston’s August 23 overnight low near 79–81°F under persistent high pressure, with limited cloud cover and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s supporting modest radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F because historical August minima average 77°F, yet current model runs show slight spread from variable boundary-layer moisture and light winds that could allow either a dip into the mid-70s or hold near 80°F. The near-even odds between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in how quickly drier air advects overnight versus lingering Gulf humidity, with resolution hinging on the 23rd’s final NWS minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$85End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Houston’s August 23 overnight low near 79–81°F under persistent high pressure, with limited cloud cover and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s supporting modest radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F because historical August minima average 77°F, yet current model runs show slight spread from variable boundary-layer moisture and light winds that could allow either a dip into the mid-70s or hold near 80°F. The near-even odds between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in how quickly drier air advects overnight versus lingering Gulf humidity, with resolution hinging on the 23rd’s final NWS minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Houston’s August 23 overnight low near 79–81°F under persistent high pressure, with limited cloud cover and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s supporting modest radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F because historical August minima average 77°F, yet current model runs show slight spread from variable boundary-layer moisture and light winds that could allow either a dip into the mid-70s or hold near 80°F. The near-even odds between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in how quickly drier air advects overnight versus lingering Gulf humidity, with resolution hinging on the 23rd’s final NWS minimum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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