Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models is splitting trader sentiment on Houston's August 24 overnight low, with nearly equal odds on a cool 69°F or below versus an unusually warm 88°F or higher minimum. Clear skies and light winds could allow strong radiative cooling after sunset, potentially dropping temperatures well below the typical late-summer average near 76°F, while abundant tropical moisture, cloud cover, or a stalled front would trap heat and humidity near the surface. Recent model runs show divergence on steering patterns and instability, with some solutions favoring a brief cool-air intrusion and others maintaining southerly flow. NOAA and National Weather Service updates through the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
69°F or below 60%
88°F or higher 60%
80-81°F 37%
70-71°F 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
60%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
60%
69°F or below 60%
88°F or higher 60%
80-81°F 37%
70-71°F 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$5 Vol.
60%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
30%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
20%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
2%
88°F or higher
$5 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models is splitting trader sentiment on Houston's August 24 overnight low, with nearly equal odds on a cool 69°F or below versus an unusually warm 88°F or higher minimum. Clear skies and light winds could allow strong radiative cooling after sunset, potentially dropping temperatures well below the typical late-summer average near 76°F, while abundant tropical moisture, cloud cover, or a stalled front would trap heat and humidity near the surface. Recent model runs show divergence on steering patterns and instability, with some solutions favoring a brief cool-air intrusion and others maintaining southerly flow. NOAA and National Weather Service updates through the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models is splitting trader sentiment on Houston's August 24 overnight low, with nearly equal odds on a cool 69°F or below versus an unusually warm 88°F or higher minimum. Clear skies and light winds could allow strong radiative cooling after sunset, potentially dropping temperatures well below the typical late-summer average near 76°F, while abundant tropical moisture, cloud cover, or a stalled front would trap heat and humidity near the surface. Recent model runs show divergence on steering patterns and instability, with some solutions favoring a brief cool-air intrusion and others maintaining southerly flow. NOAA and National Weather Service updates through the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models is splitting trader sentiment on Houston's August 24 overnight low, with nearly equal odds on a cool 69°F or below versus an unusually warm 88°F or higher minimum. Clear skies and light winds could allow strong radiative cooling after sunset, potentially dropping temperatures well below the typical late-summer average near 76°F, while abundant tropical moisture, cloud cover, or a stalled front would trap heat and humidity near the surface. Recent model runs show divergence on steering patterns and instability, with some solutions favoring a brief cool-air intrusion and others maintaining southerly flow. NOAA and National Weather Service updates through the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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