Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 11°C during the early morning hours between 3 and 9 a.m. local time, under clear skies and light southeasterly winds that limited radiative cooling. This aligns with converged short-range forecast models from KMA and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting overnight lows around 11°C amid seasonal norms for early May, when typical Seoul minima average 10–13°C with stable high-pressure systems dominating. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty, backed by real-time station data. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-evening temperature dip from prolonged clear skies, though diurnal warming and urban heat island effects make sub-11°C outcomes improbable as the day advances toward a forecasted high near 22°C. KMA's end-of-day summary will finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on May 6?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 6?
11°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,444 Vol.
$27,444 Vol.
May 6, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,444 Vol.
$27,444 Vol.
May 6, 2026
7°C or below
$1,299 Vol.
No
8°C
$526 Vol.
No
9°C
$4,761 Vol.
No
10°C
$4,116 Vol.
No
11°C
$9,376 Vol.
Yes
12°C
$2,003 Vol.
No
13°C
$734 Vol.
No
14°C
$908 Vol.
No
15°C
$516 Vol.
No
16°C
$555 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$2,650 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 11°C during the early morning hours between 3 and 9 a.m. local time, under clear skies and light southeasterly winds that limited radiative cooling. This aligns with converged short-range forecast models from KMA and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting overnight lows around 11°C amid seasonal norms for early May, when typical Seoul minima average 10–13°C with stable high-pressure systems dominating. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty, backed by real-time station data. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-evening temperature dip from prolonged clear skies, though diurnal warming and urban heat island effects make sub-11°C outcomes improbable as the day advances toward a forecasted high near 22°C. KMA's end-of-day summary will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$27,444End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 11°C during the early morning hours between 3 and 9 a.m. local time, under clear skies and light southeasterly winds that limited radiative cooling. This aligns with converged short-range forecast models from KMA and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting overnight lows around 11°C amid seasonal norms for early May, when typical Seoul minima average 10–13°C with stable high-pressure systems dominating. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty, backed by real-time station data. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-evening temperature dip from prolonged clear skies, though diurnal warming and urban heat island effects make sub-11°C outcomes improbable as the day advances toward a forecasted high near 22°C. KMA's end-of-day summary will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,444End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 11°C during the early morning hours between 3 and 9 a.m. local time, under clear skies and light southeasterly winds that limited radiative cooling. This aligns with converged short-range forecast models from KMA and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting overnight lows around 11°C amid seasonal norms for early May, when typical Seoul minima average 10–13°C with stable high-pressure systems dominating. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty, backed by real-time station data. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-evening temperature dip from prolonged clear skies, though diurnal warming and urban heat island effects make sub-11°C outcomes improbable as the day advances toward a forecasted high near 22°C. KMA's end-of-day summary will finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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