Incumbent Democrat Vicente Gonzalez, who secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, faces Republican nominee Eric Flores in the November general election for Texas's 34th congressional district. Redistricting added Republican-leaning territory from the former 27th district, shifting the seat's partisan voting index closer to even and prompting race raters to classify it as a toss-up or lean Republican. Recent polls show narrow margins, while trader consensus reflects Gonzalez's incumbency edge, prior electoral strength in South Texas border counties, and the challenges of flipping the seat in a midterm environment. The race remains one of the most competitive House contests nationally, with outcomes sensitive to turnout among key voting blocs and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
31%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$557 거래량
74%
Republican Party
$297 거래량
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Vicente Gonzalez, who secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, faces Republican nominee Eric Flores in the November general election for Texas's 34th congressional district. Redistricting added Republican-leaning territory from the former 27th district, shifting the seat's partisan voting index closer to even and prompting race raters to classify it as a toss-up or lean Republican. Recent polls show narrow margins, while trader consensus reflects Gonzalez's incumbency edge, prior electoral strength in South Texas border counties, and the challenges of flipping the seat in a midterm environment. The race remains one of the most competitive House contests nationally, with outcomes sensitive to turnout among key voting blocs and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$854종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Vicente Gonzalez, who secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, faces Republican nominee Eric Flores in the November general election for Texas's 34th congressional district. Redistricting added Republican-leaning territory from the former 27th district, shifting the seat's partisan voting index closer to even and prompting race raters to classify it as a toss-up or lean Republican. Recent polls show narrow margins, while trader consensus reflects Gonzalez's incumbency edge, prior electoral strength in South Texas border counties, and the challenges of flipping the seat in a midterm environment. The race remains one of the most competitive House contests nationally, with outcomes sensitive to turnout among key voting blocs and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$854종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Vicente Gonzalez, who secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, faces Republican nominee Eric Flores in the November general election for Texas's 34th congressional district. Redistricting added Republican-leaning territory from the former 27th district, shifting the seat's partisan voting index closer to even and prompting race raters to classify it as a toss-up or lean Republican. Recent polls show narrow margins, while trader consensus reflects Gonzalez's incumbency edge, prior electoral strength in South Texas border counties, and the challenges of flipping the seat in a midterm environment. The race remains one of the most competitive House contests nationally, with outcomes sensitive to turnout among key voting blocs and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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