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Tech·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tech·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$33,913 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$33,913 Vol.

Polymarket

San Diego, CA

$4,221 Vol.

89%

Las Vegas, NV

$4,414 Vol.

84%

Tampa, FL

$2,744 Vol.

76%

Denver, CO

$2,976 Vol.

80%

St. Louis, MO

$41 Vol.

46%

Sacramento, CA

$1,468 Vol.

28%

Chicago, IL

$779 Vol.

24%

New Orleans, LA

$675 Vol.

19%

Detroit, MI

$827 Vol.

15%

Tokyo, Japan

$347 Vol.

13%

Charlotte, NC

$468 Vol.

12%

Washington, DC

$1,442 Vol.

11%

Pittsburgh, PA

$796 Vol.

11%

Minneapolis, MN

$2,121 Vol.

11%

Baltimore, MD

$1,128 Vol.

10%

New York, NY

$1,543 Vol.

8%

London, UK

$748 Vol.

8%

Portland, OR

$2,426 Vol.

8%

Boston, MA

$3,990 Vol.

7%

Seattle, WA

$595 Vol.

7%

Philadelphia, PA

$164 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout, now at 15 U.S. cities after public launches in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1 and Las Vegas on September 14, anchors trader sentiment for additional markets by year-end. The company is executing a repeatable playbook of mapping, employee-only testing, and phased public access while scaling its Ojai minivan fleet with the sixth-generation Waymo Driver, which supports broader geographic and weather conditions. Official targets of one million weekly paid rides and 20-plus cities by December 31, 2026, combined with recent California and Nevada regulatory clearances, support expectations for further U.S. expansions in cities already under active testing or announced earlier. Competitive pressure from Zoox and Tesla, plus slower international timelines for London and Tokyo, keep focus on domestic momentum through year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$33,913
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout, now at 15 U.S. cities after public launches in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1 and Las Vegas on September 14, anchors trader sentiment for additional markets by year-end. The company is executing a repeatable playbook of mapping, employee-only testing, and phased public access while scaling its Ojai minivan fleet with the sixth-generation Waymo Driver, which supports broader geographic and weather conditions. Official targets of one million weekly paid rides and 20-plus cities by December 31, 2026, combined with recent California and Nevada regulatory clearances, support expectations for further U.S. expansions in cities already under active testing or announced earlier. Competitive pressure from Zoox and Tesla, plus slower international timelines for London and Tokyo, keep focus on domestic momentum through year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$33,913
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "San Diego, CA" at 89%, followed by "Las Vegas, NV" at 84%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" has generated $33.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is "San Diego, CA" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Las Vegas, NV" at 84%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.