Following the failure of the first round of direct US-Iran peace talks in Pakistan on April 12, where no deal emerged despite 21 hours of discussions amid a two-week ceasefire expiring around April 22, Pakistani mediators are intensifying efforts for a second round potentially within days. A Pakistani delegation met Iranian officials in Tehran today, while President Trump expressed optimism for imminent negotiations, even as a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz takes effect. US trader consensus favors Vice President JD Vance or special envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner attending over higher-profile figures, reflecting the lower-level composition of prior sessions led by Araghchi and Ghalibaf on the Iranian side. Escalation risks or breakthroughs in mediation could rapidly shift attendance dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
$19,126 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Donald Trump
6%
Marco Rubio
7%
J.D. Vance
82%
Jared Kushner
78%
Steve Witkoff
86%
$19,126 Vol.
Donald Trump
$9,012 Vol.
6%
Marco Rubio
$3,471 Vol.
7%
J.D. Vance
$4,985 Vol.
82%
Jared Kushner
$1,205 Vol.
78%
Steve Witkoff
$453 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following the failure of the first round of direct US-Iran peace talks in Pakistan on April 12, where no deal emerged despite 21 hours of discussions amid a two-week ceasefire expiring around April 22, Pakistani mediators are intensifying efforts for a second round potentially within days. A Pakistani delegation met Iranian officials in Tehran today, while President Trump expressed optimism for imminent negotiations, even as a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz takes effect. US trader consensus favors Vice President JD Vance or special envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner attending over higher-profile figures, reflecting the lower-level composition of prior sessions led by Araghchi and Ghalibaf on the Iranian side. Escalation risks or breakthroughs in mediation could rapidly shift attendance dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$19,126End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following the failure of the first round of direct US-Iran peace talks in Pakistan on April 12, where no deal emerged despite 21 hours of discussions amid a two-week ceasefire expiring around April 22, Pakistani mediators are intensifying efforts for a second round potentially within days. A Pakistani delegation met Iranian officials in Tehran today, while President Trump expressed optimism for imminent negotiations, even as a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz takes effect. US trader consensus favors Vice President JD Vance or special envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner attending over higher-profile figures, reflecting the lower-level composition of prior sessions led by Araghchi and Ghalibaf on the Iranian side. Escalation risks or breakthroughs in mediation could rapidly shift attendance dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,126End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the failure of the first round of direct US-Iran peace talks in Pakistan on April 12, where no deal emerged despite 21 hours of discussions amid a two-week ceasefire expiring around April 22, Pakistani mediators are intensifying efforts for a second round potentially within days. A Pakistani delegation met Iranian officials in Tehran today, while President Trump expressed optimism for imminent negotiations, even as a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz takes effect. US trader consensus favors Vice President JD Vance or special envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner attending over higher-profile figures, reflecting the lower-level composition of prior sessions led by Araghchi and Ghalibaf on the Iranian side. Escalation risks or breakthroughs in mediation could rapidly shift attendance dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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