Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
18°C 35%
19°C 28%
17°C 22%
20°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
15%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
22%
18°C
28%
19°C
28%
20°C
19%
21°C
12%
22°C or higher
7%
18°C 35%
19°C 28%
17°C 22%
20°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
12°C or below
$320 Vol.
2%
13°C
$5 Vol.
6%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$9 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
12%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volume
$333Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$333Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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