Market-implied odds for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 remain tightly clustered across 14–24°C, reflecting scientific uncertainty from divergent global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF amid the trailing effects of a cold front that delivered showers and gusty northwest winds to the Western Cape on April 14–15. South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance points to partly cloudy skies with lingering moisture, potentially capping diurnal heating, while AccuWeather ensembles forecast a cooler 16°C high under 97% morning precipitation probability and 96% cloud cover. Key differentiators include post-frontal cloud clearance speed, sea breeze moderation, and wind shifts; historical April frontal passages suppress averages (typically 22°C) by 3–6°C. Watch SAWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
18°C 28%
17°C 21%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
14°C or below
5%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
21%
18°C
28%
19°C
20%
20°C
10%
21°C
17%
22°C
14%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
9%
18°C 28%
17°C 21%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
14°C or below
$130 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
14%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C or higher
$129 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 remain tightly clustered across 14–24°C, reflecting scientific uncertainty from divergent global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF amid the trailing effects of a cold front that delivered showers and gusty northwest winds to the Western Cape on April 14–15. South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance points to partly cloudy skies with lingering moisture, potentially capping diurnal heating, while AccuWeather ensembles forecast a cooler 16°C high under 97% morning precipitation probability and 96% cloud cover. Key differentiators include post-frontal cloud clearance speed, sea breeze moderation, and wind shifts; historical April frontal passages suppress averages (typically 22°C) by 3–6°C. Watch SAWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$259Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 remain tightly clustered across 14–24°C, reflecting scientific uncertainty from divergent global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF amid the trailing effects of a cold front that delivered showers and gusty northwest winds to the Western Cape on April 14–15. South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance points to partly cloudy skies with lingering moisture, potentially capping diurnal heating, while AccuWeather ensembles forecast a cooler 16°C high under 97% morning precipitation probability and 96% cloud cover. Key differentiators include post-frontal cloud clearance speed, sea breeze moderation, and wind shifts; historical April frontal passages suppress averages (typically 22°C) by 3–6°C. Watch SAWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$259Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 remain tightly clustered across 14–24°C, reflecting scientific uncertainty from divergent global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF amid the trailing effects of a cold front that delivered showers and gusty northwest winds to the Western Cape on April 14–15. South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance points to partly cloudy skies with lingering moisture, potentially capping diurnal heating, while AccuWeather ensembles forecast a cooler 16°C high under 97% morning precipitation probability and 96% cloud cover. Key differentiators include post-frontal cloud clearance speed, sea breeze moderation, and wind shifts; historical April frontal passages suppress averages (typically 22°C) by 3–6°C. Watch SAWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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