The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for Taipei on April 15 projects a daytime high of 23–30°C under partly cloudy skies with occasional showers, yet market-implied odds closely favor 32°C (40.5%) over 33°C (36.5%), reflecting trader consensus that urban heat island effects at Songshan Airport station and reduced cloud cover could drive actual peaks higher—consistent with recent hotter-than-expected readings of 33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 12 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge. Morning observations already near 28°C underscore the warm baseline, while light showers pose the key uncertainty: minimal precipitation would enable 33°C via enhanced solar heating, versus capping at 32°C. Hourly CWA updates through afternoon will clarify model divergences and resolution trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on April 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 15?
32°C 40%
33°C 39%
34°C 9.4%
31°C 8%
$70,312 Vol.
$70,312 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
8%
32°C
40%
33°C
39%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 40%
33°C 39%
34°C 9.4%
31°C 8%
$70,312 Vol.
$70,312 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
8%
32°C
40%
33°C
39%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for Taipei on April 15 projects a daytime high of 23–30°C under partly cloudy skies with occasional showers, yet market-implied odds closely favor 32°C (40.5%) over 33°C (36.5%), reflecting trader consensus that urban heat island effects at Songshan Airport station and reduced cloud cover could drive actual peaks higher—consistent with recent hotter-than-expected readings of 33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 12 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge. Morning observations already near 28°C underscore the warm baseline, while light showers pose the key uncertainty: minimal precipitation would enable 33°C via enhanced solar heating, versus capping at 32°C. Hourly CWA updates through afternoon will clarify model divergences and resolution trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes