Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in global forecast models for Moscow's April 17 high temperature, with ECMWF ensembles centering around 12–13°C under overcast conditions with light rain and southeast winds at 5 mph, while earlier Phobos Weather Center outlooks from April 11 projected 15–17°C amid a high-pressure ridge thinning clouds for enhanced solar heating akin to early May norms. This model divergence—fueled by uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and the exact timing of an incoming cold front dropping temperatures over the April 18–19 weekend—differentiates the closely matched 12–17°C outcomes, all implying above-climatological averages (~11°C) for mid-April. Fresh GFS and ECMWF runs expected overnight could refine the consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
13°C 33%
15°C 27%
16°C 24%
12°C 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13°C
33%
14°C
19%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
17%
13°C 33%
15°C 27%
16°C 24%
12°C 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
7°C or below
$325 Vol.
1%
8°C
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
3%
10°C
$0 Vol.
5%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$5 Vol.
33%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$4 Vol.
18%
16°C
$10 Vol.
18%
17°C or higher
$6 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in global forecast models for Moscow's April 17 high temperature, with ECMWF ensembles centering around 12–13°C under overcast conditions with light rain and southeast winds at 5 mph, while earlier Phobos Weather Center outlooks from April 11 projected 15–17°C amid a high-pressure ridge thinning clouds for enhanced solar heating akin to early May norms. This model divergence—fueled by uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and the exact timing of an incoming cold front dropping temperatures over the April 18–19 weekend—differentiates the closely matched 12–17°C outcomes, all implying above-climatological averages (~11°C) for mid-April. Fresh GFS and ECMWF runs expected overnight could refine the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$350Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in global forecast models for Moscow's April 17 high temperature, with ECMWF ensembles centering around 12–13°C under overcast conditions with light rain and southeast winds at 5 mph, while earlier Phobos Weather Center outlooks from April 11 projected 15–17°C amid a high-pressure ridge thinning clouds for enhanced solar heating akin to early May norms. This model divergence—fueled by uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and the exact timing of an incoming cold front dropping temperatures over the April 18–19 weekend—differentiates the closely matched 12–17°C outcomes, all implying above-climatological averages (~11°C) for mid-April. Fresh GFS and ECMWF runs expected overnight could refine the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$350Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in global forecast models for Moscow's April 17 high temperature, with ECMWF ensembles centering around 12–13°C under overcast conditions with light rain and southeast winds at 5 mph, while earlier Phobos Weather Center outlooks from April 11 projected 15–17°C amid a high-pressure ridge thinning clouds for enhanced solar heating akin to early May norms. This model divergence—fueled by uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and the exact timing of an incoming cold front dropping temperatures over the April 18–19 weekend—differentiates the closely matched 12–17°C outcomes, all implying above-climatological averages (~11°C) for mid-April. Fresh GFS and ECMWF runs expected overnight could refine the consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes