Russian Hydrometeorological Centre's latest short-range forecast points to a daytime high near 12-13°C in Moscow on April 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain probabilities from a passing frontal system, closely matching trader consensus with 37.5% implied odds on 13°C and 36% on 12°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show minimal spread in this range, reflecting stable upper-air patterns with weak southerly flow but overcast skies capping solar heating and preventing sharper warming. Climatological norms for mid-April hover around 10-12°C, amplifying sensitivity to any afternoon clearing; watch for 00Z model updates overnight, as small shifts in cloud timing could tip the balance between these leading outcomes amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
12°C 39%
13°C 38%
11°C 12%
14°C 5.1%
NOUVEAU
$25,299 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$25,299 Vol.
15 avr. 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
12%
12°C
39%
13°C
38%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 39%
13°C 38%
11°C 12%
14°C 5.1%
NOUVEAU
$25,299 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$25,299 Vol.
15 avr. 2026
8°C or below
$2,314 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,758 Vol.
1%
10°C
$1,765 Vol.
4%
11°C
$1,418 Vol.
12%
12°C
$838 Vol.
39%
13°C
$742 Vol.
38%
14°C
$3,930 Vol.
5%
15°C
$3,653 Vol.
3%
16°C
$3,833 Vol.
1%
17°C
$2,716 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$1,498 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Russian Hydrometeorological Centre's latest short-range forecast points to a daytime high near 12-13°C in Moscow on April 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain probabilities from a passing frontal system, closely matching trader consensus with 37.5% implied odds on 13°C and 36% on 12°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show minimal spread in this range, reflecting stable upper-air patterns with weak southerly flow but overcast skies capping solar heating and preventing sharper warming. Climatological norms for mid-April hover around 10-12°C, amplifying sensitivity to any afternoon clearing; watch for 00Z model updates overnight, as small shifts in cloud timing could tip the balance between these leading outcomes amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$25,299Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Russian Hydrometeorological Centre's latest short-range forecast points to a daytime high near 12-13°C in Moscow on April 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain probabilities from a passing frontal system, closely matching trader consensus with 37.5% implied odds on 13°C and 36% on 12°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show minimal spread in this range, reflecting stable upper-air patterns with weak southerly flow but overcast skies capping solar heating and preventing sharper warming. Climatological norms for mid-April hover around 10-12°C, amplifying sensitivity to any afternoon clearing; watch for 00Z model updates overnight, as small shifts in cloud timing could tip the balance between these leading outcomes amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,299Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russian Hydrometeorological Centre's latest short-range forecast points to a daytime high near 12-13°C in Moscow on April 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain probabilities from a passing frontal system, closely matching trader consensus with 37.5% implied odds on 13°C and 36% on 12°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show minimal spread in this range, reflecting stable upper-air patterns with weak southerly flow but overcast skies capping solar heating and preventing sharper warming. Climatological norms for mid-April hover around 10-12°C, amplifying sensitivity to any afternoon clearing; watch for 00Z model updates overnight, as small shifts in cloud timing could tip the balance between these leading outcomes amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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