Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 17-19°C in Busan on April 17, with 19°C or higher at 35% reflecting a recent warm anomaly—observed highs reached 25°C on April 13 amid retreating Siberian air masses. However, latest forecast models, including AccuWeather ensembles aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration patterns, project a cooldown to around 17°C due to an approaching low-pressure trough introducing cloudy skies and afternoon showers, elevating odds for 17°C (21%) and 18°C (18%). This mirrors typical mid-April variability in the region, where frontal systems disrupt warming trends; uncertainty persists as new KMA updates expected April 16 could refine intensification or steering. Historical April highs average 18°C, supporting the clustered probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Busan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 17?
19°C or higher 47%
17°C 22%
18°C 18%
16°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
9%
17°C
22%
18°C
18%
19°C or higher
36%
19°C or higher 47%
17°C 22%
18°C 18%
16°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
9°C or below
$518 Vol.
1%
10°C
$526 Vol.
1%
11°C
$334 Vol.
1%
12°C
$703 Vol.
1%
13°C
$476 Vol.
1%
14°C
$321 Vol.
1%
15°C
$288 Vol.
6%
16°C
$13 Vol.
9%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$34 Vol.
18%
19°C or higher
$35 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 17-19°C in Busan on April 17, with 19°C or higher at 35% reflecting a recent warm anomaly—observed highs reached 25°C on April 13 amid retreating Siberian air masses. However, latest forecast models, including AccuWeather ensembles aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration patterns, project a cooldown to around 17°C due to an approaching low-pressure trough introducing cloudy skies and afternoon showers, elevating odds for 17°C (21%) and 18°C (18%). This mirrors typical mid-April variability in the region, where frontal systems disrupt warming trends; uncertainty persists as new KMA updates expected April 16 could refine intensification or steering. Historical April highs average 18°C, supporting the clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$2,947Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 17-19°C in Busan on April 17, with 19°C or higher at 35% reflecting a recent warm anomaly—observed highs reached 25°C on April 13 amid retreating Siberian air masses. However, latest forecast models, including AccuWeather ensembles aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration patterns, project a cooldown to around 17°C due to an approaching low-pressure trough introducing cloudy skies and afternoon showers, elevating odds for 17°C (21%) and 18°C (18%). This mirrors typical mid-April variability in the region, where frontal systems disrupt warming trends; uncertainty persists as new KMA updates expected April 16 could refine intensification or steering. Historical April highs average 18°C, supporting the clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,947Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 17-19°C in Busan on April 17, with 19°C or higher at 35% reflecting a recent warm anomaly—observed highs reached 25°C on April 13 amid retreating Siberian air masses. However, latest forecast models, including AccuWeather ensembles aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration patterns, project a cooldown to around 17°C due to an approaching low-pressure trough introducing cloudy skies and afternoon showers, elevating odds for 17°C (21%) and 18°C (18%). This mirrors typical mid-April variability in the region, where frontal systems disrupt warming trends; uncertainty persists as new KMA updates expected April 16 could refine intensification or steering. Historical April highs average 18°C, supporting the clustered probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes