Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 43.5% implied probability to a 9°C high in Ankara today, narrowly ahead of 10°C at 35%, reflecting close alignment in ECMWF and GFS model ensembles amid a persistent cold air mass from northerly winds. Overnight lows near 2°C and morning temperatures around 7°C provide a cool baseline, with cloud cover and 60% afternoon shower chances capping diurnal heating well below April climatological averages of 16°C. AccuWeather forecasts a precise 10°C peak under partly cloudy skies, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in solar insolation before precipitation—thicker overcast favors 9°C, while brief clearing could push to 10°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and real-time station data this afternoon will sharpen resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on April 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 12?
9°C 42%
10°C 35%
8°C 16%
11°C 8%
$31,961 Vol.
$31,961 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
16%
9°C
42%
10°C
35%
11°C
8%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
9°C 42%
10°C 35%
8°C 16%
11°C 8%
$31,961 Vol.
$31,961 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
16%
9°C
42%
10°C
35%
11°C
8%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 43.5% implied probability to a 9°C high in Ankara today, narrowly ahead of 10°C at 35%, reflecting close alignment in ECMWF and GFS model ensembles amid a persistent cold air mass from northerly winds. Overnight lows near 2°C and morning temperatures around 7°C provide a cool baseline, with cloud cover and 60% afternoon shower chances capping diurnal heating well below April climatological averages of 16°C. AccuWeather forecasts a precise 10°C peak under partly cloudy skies, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in solar insolation before precipitation—thicker overcast favors 9°C, while brief clearing could push to 10°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and real-time station data this afternoon will sharpen resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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