Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Ankara's highest temperature on April 13 around 11–13°C, driven by persistent cold air advection from an upper-level low over Eastern Europe and widespread cloud cover, keeping readings 4–6°C below the April climatological average of 17°C at Esenboğa International Airport station. Trader consensus reflects model divergence on afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing, with 12°C (33.5% implied probability) edging 13°C (31.0%) on scenarios of partial clearing allowing modest diurnal heating, while 11°C (22.5%) gains from potential prolonged overcast or light precipitation as seen in recent verified highs of 9–11°C and mid-April snowfall. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) updates and overnight model runs for resolution cues tomorrow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
12°C 34%
13°C 30%
11°C 24%
14°C 7.5%
$11,259 Vol.
$11,259 Vol.
9°C ou moins
5%
10°C
4%
11°C
24%
12°C
34%
13°C
30%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 34%
13°C 30%
11°C 24%
14°C 7.5%
$11,259 Vol.
$11,259 Vol.
9°C ou moins
5%
10°C
4%
11°C
24%
12°C
34%
13°C
30%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Ankara's highest temperature on April 13 around 11–13°C, driven by persistent cold air advection from an upper-level low over Eastern Europe and widespread cloud cover, keeping readings 4–6°C below the April climatological average of 17°C at Esenboğa International Airport station. Trader consensus reflects model divergence on afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing, with 12°C (33.5% implied probability) edging 13°C (31.0%) on scenarios of partial clearing allowing modest diurnal heating, while 11°C (22.5%) gains from potential prolonged overcast or light precipitation as seen in recent verified highs of 9–11°C and mid-April snowfall. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) updates and overnight model runs for resolution cues tomorrow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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