Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecasts showing highs near 25-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear-sky radiative heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. Recent observations confirm a warming spring trend, with April 11-12 highs around 24-25°C exceeding the mid-April climatological normal of 23°C, while probabilities cluster at 35-36% for 22-25°C due to model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs indicating potential afternoon cloud development or light showers. Uncertainty persists from variable southerly flows; watch CMA's April 13 bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 14?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 14?
20°C 27%
21°C 22%
22°C 14%
19°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
12%
20°C
27%
21°C
22%
22°C
14%
23°C
8%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
3%
20°C 27%
21°C 22%
22°C 14%
19°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
16°C or below
$31 Vol.
3%
17°C
$10 Vol.
4%
18°C
$10 Vol.
10%
19°C
$10 Vol.
12%
20°C
$24 Vol.
27%
21°C
$33 Vol.
22%
22°C
$10 Vol.
14%
23°C
$18 Vol.
8%
24°C
$18 Vol.
7%
25°C
$19 Vol.
6%
26°C or higher
$76 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecasts showing highs near 25-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear-sky radiative heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. Recent observations confirm a warming spring trend, with April 11-12 highs around 24-25°C exceeding the mid-April climatological normal of 23°C, while probabilities cluster at 35-36% for 22-25°C due to model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs indicating potential afternoon cloud development or light showers. Uncertainty persists from variable southerly flows; watch CMA's April 13 bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$213Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecasts showing highs near 25-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear-sky radiative heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. Recent observations confirm a warming spring trend, with April 11-12 highs around 24-25°C exceeding the mid-April climatological normal of 23°C, while probabilities cluster at 35-36% for 22-25°C due to model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs indicating potential afternoon cloud development or light showers. Uncertainty persists from variable southerly flows; watch CMA's April 13 bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$213Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecasts showing highs near 25-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear-sky radiative heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. Recent observations confirm a warming spring trend, with April 11-12 highs around 24-25°C exceeding the mid-April climatological normal of 23°C, while probabilities cluster at 35-36% for 22-25°C due to model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs indicating potential afternoon cloud development or light showers. Uncertainty persists from variable southerly flows; watch CMA's April 13 bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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