Trader consensus on Chongqing's March 26 high temperature hinges on the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which cluster tightly around 21-22°C with a spread of just 1°C, reflecting model convergence amid mild southerly flows. Recent 12Z updates nudged probabilities toward 22°C as ensemble means edged up from prior runs, driven by reduced cloud cover projections enhancing solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include Chongqing's urban heat island effect, adding ~1°C to rural baselines, versus lingering humidity from upstream moisture that could cap peaks at 21°C via shallower boundary layers. Historical late-March averages of 20.5°C provide context, with current mild anomaly (+1.2°C) underscoring low risk of extremes below 19°C or above 24°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
22°C 33%
21°C 26%
24°C 21%
23°C 19%
18°C or below
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
15%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
18%
24°C
20%
25°C
6%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
22°C 33%
21°C 26%
24°C 21%
23°C 19%
18°C or below
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
15%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
18%
24°C
20%
25°C
6%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Chongqing's March 26 high temperature hinges on the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which cluster tightly around 21-22°C with a spread of just 1°C, reflecting model convergence amid mild southerly flows. Recent 12Z updates nudged probabilities toward 22°C as ensemble means edged up from prior runs, driven by reduced cloud cover projections enhancing solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include Chongqing's urban heat island effect, adding ~1°C to rural baselines, versus lingering humidity from upstream moisture that could cap peaks at 21°C via shallower boundary layers. Historical late-March averages of 20.5°C provide context, with current mild anomaly (+1.2°C) underscoring low risk of extremes below 19°C or above 24°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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