Ensemble weather models from authoritative sources like ECMWF and GFS converge on mild spring conditions for Chongqing on March 27, driving tight trader odds around 19–22°C highs, with 21°C edging ahead at 25% implied probability due to recent runs favoring slightly warmer advection from southern air masses. Historical late-March averages hover near 19°C, but urban heat island effects and Yangtze basin topography amplify peaks by 1–2°C on clear days. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover—less overcast scenarios boost 21–22°C odds—diurnal solar forcing, and weak frontal passages, per China Meteorological Administration updates; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model refresh for resolution shifts amid 2–3°C forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
21°C 25%
19°C 24%
20°C 24%
22°C 23%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
21%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
25%
22°C
23%
23°C
12%
24°C
12%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 25%
19°C 24%
20°C 24%
22°C 23%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
21%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
25%
22°C
23%
23°C
12%
24°C
12%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from authoritative sources like ECMWF and GFS converge on mild spring conditions for Chongqing on March 27, driving tight trader odds around 19–22°C highs, with 21°C edging ahead at 25% implied probability due to recent runs favoring slightly warmer advection from southern air masses. Historical late-March averages hover near 19°C, but urban heat island effects and Yangtze basin topography amplify peaks by 1–2°C on clear days. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover—less overcast scenarios boost 21–22°C odds—diurnal solar forcing, and weak frontal passages, per China Meteorological Administration updates; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model refresh for resolution shifts amid 2–3°C forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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