Trader consensus on Munich's highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 8-10°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicating a cool northerly airflow and upper-level trough suppressing highs below seasonal norms of 11-12°C. Recent 00Z runs refine this to a mean of about 9°C, with 25.5% implied odds reflecting the most probable peak amid variable cloud cover—overcast conditions favor 8°C (22%), while partial clearing boosts 10°C (16.5%). Lower odds for 7°C stem from minimal risk of stronger cold advection, per DWD analyses, while 14°C+ remains unlikely without a ridge breakdown. Key watch: 12Z model updates for front timing shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 28 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 28 mars ?
9°C 23%
8°C 22%
10°C 17%
7°C 14%
5°C ou moins
7%
6°C
6%
7°C
14%
8°C
22%
9°C
23%
10°C
17%
11°C
9%
12°C
8%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C ou plus
2%
9°C 23%
8°C 22%
10°C 17%
7°C 14%
5°C ou moins
7%
6°C
6%
7°C
14%
8°C
22%
9°C
23%
10°C
17%
11°C
9%
12°C
8%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Munich's highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 8-10°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicating a cool northerly airflow and upper-level trough suppressing highs below seasonal norms of 11-12°C. Recent 00Z runs refine this to a mean of about 9°C, with 25.5% implied odds reflecting the most probable peak amid variable cloud cover—overcast conditions favor 8°C (22%), while partial clearing boosts 10°C (16.5%). Lower odds for 7°C stem from minimal risk of stronger cold advection, per DWD analyses, while 14°C+ remains unlikely without a ridge breakdown. Key watch: 12Z model updates for front timing shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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