Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Tokyo high of 18°C (28.5%) on April 17, with tight odds across 15–20°C outcomes reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Latest JMA guidance projects a maximum near 21°C under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% scattered shower risk, but persistent low-level cloud cover from a lingering weak frontal system could suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. Recent days featured cloudy conditions with occasional showers, aligning with cooler-than-average trends for mid-April (historical highs ~19°C). Model ensembles show spread due to variable clearing timing and southerly flow strength; watch JMA's April 16 update for refined guidance on peak temperature thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
18°C 29%
19°C 26%
17°C 23%
20°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
23%
18°C
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C or higher
4%
18°C 29%
19°C 26%
17°C 23%
20°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
12°C or below
$367 Vol.
2%
13°C
$327 Vol.
2%
14°C
$224 Vol.
1%
15°C
$208 Vol.
4%
16°C
$162 Vol.
9%
17°C
$22 Vol.
23%
18°C
$24 Vol.
29%
19°C
$4 Vol.
26%
20°C
$25 Vol.
11%
21°C
$30 Vol.
6%
22°C or higher
$381 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Tokyo high of 18°C (28.5%) on April 17, with tight odds across 15–20°C outcomes reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Latest JMA guidance projects a maximum near 21°C under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% scattered shower risk, but persistent low-level cloud cover from a lingering weak frontal system could suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. Recent days featured cloudy conditions with occasional showers, aligning with cooler-than-average trends for mid-April (historical highs ~19°C). Model ensembles show spread due to variable clearing timing and southerly flow strength; watch JMA's April 16 update for refined guidance on peak temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$1,757Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Tokyo high of 18°C (28.5%) on April 17, with tight odds across 15–20°C outcomes reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Latest JMA guidance projects a maximum near 21°C under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% scattered shower risk, but persistent low-level cloud cover from a lingering weak frontal system could suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. Recent days featured cloudy conditions with occasional showers, aligning with cooler-than-average trends for mid-April (historical highs ~19°C). Model ensembles show spread due to variable clearing timing and southerly flow strength; watch JMA's April 16 update for refined guidance on peak temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,757Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Tokyo high of 18°C (28.5%) on April 17, with tight odds across 15–20°C outcomes reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Latest JMA guidance projects a maximum near 21°C under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% scattered shower risk, but persistent low-level cloud cover from a lingering weak frontal system could suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. Recent days featured cloudy conditions with occasional showers, aligning with cooler-than-average trends for mid-April (historical highs ~19°C). Model ensembles show spread due to variable clearing timing and southerly flow strength; watch JMA's April 16 update for refined guidance on peak temperature thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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