National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 5 point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s amid a warm, humid air mass with light southeast flow and possible showers that limit radiational cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the season’s established above-average temperature pattern and the absence of stronger cold advection. Ensemble spreads introduce modest downside risk to the upper 60s if clouds clear earlier than expected, while the low probability attached to readings below 66 °F or above 74 °F mirrors the narrow historical envelope for early-August minimums under similar synoptic conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine the precise overnight minimum used for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 5 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 5 août ?
70-71°F 42%
72-73 °F 27%
68-69°F 17%
66-67°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 août 2026
57°F ou moins
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63 °F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
42%
72-73 °F
27%
74-75°F
3%
76°F ou plus
1%
70-71°F 42%
72-73 °F 27%
68-69°F 17%
66-67°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 août 2026
57°F ou moins
$101 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$101 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$88 Vol.
<1%
62-63 °F
$655 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$820 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$146 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$190 Vol.
17%
70-71°F
$1,427 Vol.
42%
72-73 °F
$178 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$1,639 Vol.
3%
76°F ou plus
$219 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 5 point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s amid a warm, humid air mass with light southeast flow and possible showers that limit radiational cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the season’s established above-average temperature pattern and the absence of stronger cold advection. Ensemble spreads introduce modest downside risk to the upper 60s if clouds clear earlier than expected, while the low probability attached to readings below 66 °F or above 74 °F mirrors the narrow historical envelope for early-August minimums under similar synoptic conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine the precise overnight minimum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$5,563Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 5 point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s amid a warm, humid air mass with light southeast flow and possible showers that limit radiational cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the season’s established above-average temperature pattern and the absence of stronger cold advection. Ensemble spreads introduce modest downside risk to the upper 60s if clouds clear earlier than expected, while the low probability attached to readings below 66 °F or above 74 °F mirrors the narrow historical envelope for early-August minimums under similar synoptic conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine the precise overnight minimum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,563Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 5 point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s amid a warm, humid air mass with light southeast flow and possible showers that limit radiational cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the season’s established above-average temperature pattern and the absence of stronger cold advection. Ensemble spreads introduce modest downside risk to the upper 60s if clouds clear earlier than expected, while the low probability attached to readings below 66 °F or above 74 °F mirrors the narrow historical envelope for early-August minimums under similar synoptic conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine the precise overnight minimum used for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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