Middle East Odds &amp; Predictions | Polymarket

March 31

34%

Yes34%No66%

$17M Vol.

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

March 31

98%

June 30

98%

$28M Vol.

Weekly

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

chance

Yes

$28M Vol.

Monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

23%

chance

Yes

$13M Vol.

Monthly

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

100%

chance

Yes

$1M Vol.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

March 15

March 31

31%

Yes31%No69%

$4M Vol.

Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Daily

Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

UAE

21%

Saudi Arabia

21%

$6M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

13%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Monthly

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

100%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

34%

chance

Yes

$9M Vol.

Monthly

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

March 15

10%

Yes10%No90%

March 31

45%

Yes45%No55%

$1M Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

58%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

March 31

Yes2%No98%

June 30

17%

$7M Vol.

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

14%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Monthly

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

38%

Yes38%No62%

Reza Pahlavi

17%

$2M Vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu

60%

Yes60%No40%

Naftali Bennett

27%

Yes27%No73%

$2M Vol.

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by...? card icon

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

11%

chance

Yes

$1M Vol.

Monthly

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Yes6%No94%

25%

Yes25%No75%

$2M Vol.

Daily

All

Iran

Oil

Ukraine

Venezuela

Ukraine Peace Deal

Ukraine Map

Gaza

Israel

Sudan

China

Thailand-Cambodia

Middle East

Foreign Policy

India-Pakistan

South Korea

Yemen

Syria

Turkey

Middle East

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

March 15

March 31

34%

Yes34%No66%

$17M Vol.

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

March 31

98%

June 30

98%

$28M Vol.

Weekly

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

chance

Yes

$28M Vol.

Monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

23%

chance

Yes

$13M Vol.

Monthly

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

100%

chance

Yes

$1M Vol.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

March 15

March 31

31%

Yes31%No69%

$4M Vol.

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Daily

Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

UAE

21%

Saudi Arabia

21%

$6M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

13%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Monthly

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

100%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

34%

chance

Yes

$9M Vol.

Monthly

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

March 15

10%

Yes10%No90%

March 31

45%

Yes45%No55%

$1M Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

58%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

March 31

Yes2%No98%

June 30

17%

$7M Vol.

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

14%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Monthly

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

38%

Yes38%No62%

Reza Pahlavi

17%