Trader consensus on Polymarket prices China's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 0.6–1.0% range at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting March 2026 data showing a YoY moderation to 1.0% from February's 1.3% peak—below expectations of 1.2%—with Q1 average at 0.9%. This easing amid subdued consumer demand, property sector headwinds, and core CPI dipping to 1.1% reinforces forecasts like ADB's 0.6% and Macquarie's 0.8% for the full year, despite PPI turning positive at 0.5% YoY for the first time in 41 months on commodity boosts. Lower brackets like 0.1–0.5% (16.5%) capture deflation risks, while Beijing's ~2% target remains aspirational; April CPI due mid-May could shift positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाचीन वार्षिक मुद्रास्फीति 2026
चीन वार्षिक मुद्रास्फीति 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 39%
1.1 – 1.5% 23%
0.1 – 0.5% 16%
2.5%+ 10.2%
$32,283 वॉल्यूम
$32,283 वॉल्यूम
10 जन, 2027
<-1.0%
2%
-0.9 – -0.5%
6%
-0.4 – 0.0%
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
16%
0.6 – 1.0%
39%
1.1 – 1.5%
23%
1.6 – 2.0%
7%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
10%
0.6 – 1.0% 39%
1.1 – 1.5% 23%
0.1 – 0.5% 16%
2.5%+ 10.2%
$32,283 वॉल्यूम
$32,283 वॉल्यूम
10 जन, 2027
<-1.0%
$16,784 वॉल्यूम
2%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$1,768 वॉल्यूम
6%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$1,803 वॉल्यूम
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$1,852 वॉल्यूम
16%
0.6 – 1.0%
$1,979 वॉल्यूम
39%
1.1 – 1.5%
$2,332 वॉल्यूम
23%
1.6 – 2.0%
$2,529 वॉल्यूम
7%
2.0-2.4%
$1,647 वॉल्यूम
6%
2.5%+
$1,589 वॉल्यूम
10%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Trader consensus on Polymarket prices China's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 0.6–1.0% range at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting March 2026 data showing a YoY moderation to 1.0% from February's 1.3% peak—below expectations of 1.2%—with Q1 average at 0.9%. This easing amid subdued consumer demand, property sector headwinds, and core CPI dipping to 1.1% reinforces forecasts like ADB's 0.6% and Macquarie's 0.8% for the full year, despite PPI turning positive at 0.5% YoY for the first time in 41 months on commodity boosts. Lower brackets like 0.1–0.5% (16.5%) capture deflation risks, while Beijing's ~2% target remains aspirational; April CPI due mid-May could shift positioning.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,283समाप्ति तिथि
10 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Trader consensus on Polymarket prices China's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 0.6–1.0% range at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting March 2026 data showing a YoY moderation to 1.0% from February's 1.3% peak—below expectations of 1.2%—with Q1 average at 0.9%. This easing amid subdued consumer demand, property sector headwinds, and core CPI dipping to 1.1% reinforces forecasts like ADB's 0.6% and Macquarie's 0.8% for the full year, despite PPI turning positive at 0.5% YoY for the first time in 41 months on commodity boosts. Lower brackets like 0.1–0.5% (16.5%) capture deflation risks, while Beijing's ~2% target remains aspirational; April CPI due mid-May could shift positioning.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
वॉल्यूम
$32,283समाप्ति तिथि
10 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices China's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 0.6–1.0% range at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting March 2026 data showing a YoY moderation to 1.0% from February's 1.3% peak—below expectations of 1.2%—with Q1 average at 0.9%. This easing amid subdued consumer demand, property sector headwinds, and core CPI dipping to 1.1% reinforces forecasts like ADB's 0.6% and Macquarie's 0.8% for the full year, despite PPI turning positive at 0.5% YoY for the first time in 41 months on commodity boosts. Lower brackets like 0.1–0.5% (16.5%) capture deflation risks, while Beijing's ~2% target remains aspirational; April CPI due mid-May could shift positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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