Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Pause–Pause–Pause sequence for FOMC meetings in January, March, and April 2026, with 99.1% implied probability, anchored by the Federal Reserve's confirmed decisions to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the January 27-28 and March 17-18 sessions amid solid GDP growth and labor market resilience. Recent March 2026 CPI data, released April 10, revealed a 3.3% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2024—fueled by oil price shocks from Middle East geopolitical tensions, prompting hawkish tones in March FOMC minutes that highlighted openness to hikes. This positions the April 28-29 meeting for continuation, though sharper-than-expected inflation cooldown or weakening nonfarm payrolls could challenge the pause.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफेड के फ़ैसले (जनवरी - अप्रैल)
फेड के फ़ैसले (जनवरी - अप्रैल)
ठहराव–ठहराव–ठहराव 99.0%
रोक–रोक–कटौती <1%
अन्य <1%
$627,535 वॉल्यूम
$627,535 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
ठहराव–ठहराव–ठहराव
99%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
1%
अन्य
<1%
ठहराव–ठहराव–ठहराव 99.0%
रोक–रोक–कटौती <1%
अन्य <1%
$627,535 वॉल्यूम
$627,535 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
ठहराव–ठहराव–ठहराव
$89,029 वॉल्यूम
99%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
$222,647 वॉल्यूम
1%
अन्य
$275,873 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Pause–Pause–Pause sequence for FOMC meetings in January, March, and April 2026, with 99.1% implied probability, anchored by the Federal Reserve's confirmed decisions to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the January 27-28 and March 17-18 sessions amid solid GDP growth and labor market resilience. Recent March 2026 CPI data, released April 10, revealed a 3.3% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2024—fueled by oil price shocks from Middle East geopolitical tensions, prompting hawkish tones in March FOMC minutes that highlighted openness to hikes. This positions the April 28-29 meeting for continuation, though sharper-than-expected inflation cooldown or weakening nonfarm payrolls could challenge the pause.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 2:34 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$627,535समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Pause–Pause–Pause sequence for FOMC meetings in January, March, and April 2026, with 99.1% implied probability, anchored by the Federal Reserve's confirmed decisions to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the January 27-28 and March 17-18 sessions amid solid GDP growth and labor market resilience. Recent March 2026 CPI data, released April 10, revealed a 3.3% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2024—fueled by oil price shocks from Middle East geopolitical tensions, prompting hawkish tones in March FOMC minutes that highlighted openness to hikes. This positions the April 28-29 meeting for continuation, though sharper-than-expected inflation cooldown or weakening nonfarm payrolls could challenge the pause.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$627,535समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Pause–Pause–Pause sequence for FOMC meetings in January, March, and April 2026, with 99.1% implied probability, anchored by the Federal Reserve's confirmed decisions to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the January 27-28 and March 17-18 sessions amid solid GDP growth and labor market resilience. Recent March 2026 CPI data, released April 10, revealed a 3.3% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2024—fueled by oil price shocks from Middle East geopolitical tensions, prompting hawkish tones in March FOMC minutes that highlighted openness to hikes. This positions the April 28-29 meeting for continuation, though sharper-than-expected inflation cooldown or weakening nonfarm payrolls could challenge the pause.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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