Ongoing US-Israeli military operations against Iran, initiated with widespread airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting missiles, air defenses, and nuclear sites, have evolved into a protracted conflict focused on the Strait of Hormuz. Recent diplomatic developments include a fragile US-brokered truce announced around April 7, conditional on Iran halting disruptions there, alongside a US naval blockade enforced after Tehran's rejection of President Trump's deadlines. Israel is preparing potential strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, awaiting Washington approval, while launching direct talks with Lebanon on April 14 to curb Hezbollah escalation backed by Tehran. Traders monitor these tensions, upcoming Security Council deliberations, and proxy clashes for signals of renewed airstrikes or de-escalation by market deadlines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइसराइल द्वारा ईरान के खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई...?
इसराइल द्वारा ईरान के खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई...?
$1,548,577 वॉल्यूम
21 अप्रैल, 2026
14 अप्रैल
1%
21 अप्रैल
12%
$1,548,577 वॉल्यूम
14 अप्रैल
$1,106,281 वॉल्यूम
1%
21 अप्रैल
$442,296 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ongoing US-Israeli military operations against Iran, initiated with widespread airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting missiles, air defenses, and nuclear sites, have evolved into a protracted conflict focused on the Strait of Hormuz. Recent diplomatic developments include a fragile US-brokered truce announced around April 7, conditional on Iran halting disruptions there, alongside a US naval blockade enforced after Tehran's rejection of President Trump's deadlines. Israel is preparing potential strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, awaiting Washington approval, while launching direct talks with Lebanon on April 14 to curb Hezbollah escalation backed by Tehran. Traders monitor these tensions, upcoming Security Council deliberations, and proxy clashes for signals of renewed airstrikes or de-escalation by market deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,548,577समाप्ति तिथि
21 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ongoing US-Israeli military operations against Iran, initiated with widespread airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting missiles, air defenses, and nuclear sites, have evolved into a protracted conflict focused on the Strait of Hormuz. Recent diplomatic developments include a fragile US-brokered truce announced around April 7, conditional on Iran halting disruptions there, alongside a US naval blockade enforced after Tehran's rejection of President Trump's deadlines. Israel is preparing potential strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, awaiting Washington approval, while launching direct talks with Lebanon on April 14 to curb Hezbollah escalation backed by Tehran. Traders monitor these tensions, upcoming Security Council deliberations, and proxy clashes for signals of renewed airstrikes or de-escalation by market deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
वॉल्यूम
$1,548,577समाप्ति तिथि
21 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Israeli military operations against Iran, initiated with widespread airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting missiles, air defenses, and nuclear sites, have evolved into a protracted conflict focused on the Strait of Hormuz. Recent diplomatic developments include a fragile US-brokered truce announced around April 7, conditional on Iran halting disruptions there, alongside a US naval blockade enforced after Tehran's rejection of President Trump's deadlines. Israel is preparing potential strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, awaiting Washington approval, while launching direct talks with Lebanon on April 14 to curb Hezbollah escalation backed by Tehran. Traders monitor these tensions, upcoming Security Council deliberations, and proxy clashes for signals of renewed airstrikes or de-escalation by market deadlines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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