Recent high-level US-Iran talks in Islamabad ended without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, primarily over uranium enrichment limits—US officials proposing a 20-year suspension rejected by Tehran, which countered with five years—but Vice President Vance highlighted "a lot of progress," with President Trump signaling an imminent second round amid a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz pressuring Iran's economy via oil price spikes. This diplomatic engagement, building on 2025 negotiations that collapsed into war after missed deadlines, reflects trader consensus on substantial momentum toward sanctions relief and nuclear curbs before 2027, bolstered by Trump's public optimism that the conflict is "close to over" and potential for monitored concessions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$630,524 वॉल्यूम
$630,524 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$630,524 वॉल्यूम
$630,524 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-Iran talks in Islamabad ended without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, primarily over uranium enrichment limits—US officials proposing a 20-year suspension rejected by Tehran, which countered with five years—but Vice President Vance highlighted "a lot of progress," with President Trump signaling an imminent second round amid a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz pressuring Iran's economy via oil price spikes. This diplomatic engagement, building on 2025 negotiations that collapsed into war after missed deadlines, reflects trader consensus on substantial momentum toward sanctions relief and nuclear curbs before 2027, bolstered by Trump's public optimism that the conflict is "close to over" and potential for monitored concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$630,524समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-Iran talks in Islamabad ended without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, primarily over uranium enrichment limits—US officials proposing a 20-year suspension rejected by Tehran, which countered with five years—but Vice President Vance highlighted "a lot of progress," with President Trump signaling an imminent second round amid a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz pressuring Iran's economy via oil price spikes. This diplomatic engagement, building on 2025 negotiations that collapsed into war after missed deadlines, reflects trader consensus on substantial momentum toward sanctions relief and nuclear curbs before 2027, bolstered by Trump's public optimism that the conflict is "close to over" and potential for monitored concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$630,524समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent high-level US-Iran talks in Islamabad ended without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, primarily over uranium enrichment limits—US officials proposing a 20-year suspension rejected by Tehran, which countered with five years—but Vice President Vance highlighted "a lot of progress," with President Trump signaling an imminent second round amid a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz pressuring Iran's economy via oil price spikes. This diplomatic engagement, building on 2025 negotiations that collapsed into war after missed deadlines, reflects trader consensus on substantial momentum toward sanctions relief and nuclear curbs before 2027, bolstered by Trump's public optimism that the conflict is "close to over" and potential for monitored concessions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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