Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting model consensus point to a post-heatwave cooldown over the Île-de-France region, with largely sunny skies and maximum temperatures stabilizing near 25–27 °C on August 7. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the week and reflects a shift toward milder Atlantic air, limiting daytime heating despite clear spells. Trader positioning favors 27 °C as the modal outcome because short-range ensembles show modest upside potential from localized warming or delayed cloud cover, while the risk of reaching 28 °C or higher remains low absent rapid model shifts. Updated runs from European forecasting centers and official observations on the morning of August 6 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 7?
27°C 56%
26°C 20%
28°C 17%
25°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
20%
27°C
56%
28°C
17%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 56%
26°C 20%
28°C 17%
25°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
20%
27°C
56%
28°C
17%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting model consensus point to a post-heatwave cooldown over the Île-de-France region, with largely sunny skies and maximum temperatures stabilizing near 25–27 °C on August 7. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the week and reflects a shift toward milder Atlantic air, limiting daytime heating despite clear spells. Trader positioning favors 27 °C as the modal outcome because short-range ensembles show modest upside potential from localized warming or delayed cloud cover, while the risk of reaching 28 °C or higher remains low absent rapid model shifts. Updated runs from European forecasting centers and official observations on the morning of August 6 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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