Trader consensus heavily favors Civil Contract at 89% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by its consistent poll lead and opposition fragmentation. The latest EVN Report survey (published April 6, fieldwork late February to March) shows Civil Contract at 33.6% support—up 7.5 points from prior waves—with undecided voters (37%) leaning toward it via additive modeling predicting 41–50% final share. Strong Armenia trails at 11.4%, Armenia Alliance at 4.2%, and others below the 5% threshold, wasting votes and boosting the incumbent's plurality path. Recent gains stem from rising Prime Minister Pashinyan approval (47%), improved security perceptions post-U.S. VP Vance visit and TRIPP project, and economic optimism. Party registrations close April 23 amid intensifying campaigns, though opposition consolidation remains elusive.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoContratto Civile 90%
Alleanza Armenia 6%
Heritage 2.5%
Armenia Prospera 2.1%
$103,360 Vol.
$103,360 Vol.
7 giu 2026
Contratto Civile
90%
Alleanza Armenia
6%
Heritage
2%
Armenia Prospera
2%
Congresso Nazionale Armeno
2%
Orinats Yerkir
2%
Armenia Luminosa
1%
Partito Hanrapetutyun
1%
Alleanza Ho l'Onore
<1%
Contratto Civile 90%
Alleanza Armenia 6%
Heritage 2.5%
Armenia Prospera 2.1%
$103,360 Vol.
$103,360 Vol.
7 giu 2026
Contratto Civile
$41,427 Vol.
90%
Alleanza Armenia
$49,639 Vol.
6%
Heritage
$1,761 Vol.
2%
Armenia Prospera
$1,554 Vol.
2%
Congresso Nazionale Armeno
$2,006 Vol.
2%
Orinats Yerkir
$1,807 Vol.
2%
Armenia Luminosa
$2,278 Vol.
1%
Partito Hanrapetutyun
$1,484 Vol.
1%
Alleanza Ho l'Onore
$1,405 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Trader consensus heavily favors Civil Contract at 89% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by its consistent poll lead and opposition fragmentation. The latest EVN Report survey (published April 6, fieldwork late February to March) shows Civil Contract at 33.6% support—up 7.5 points from prior waves—with undecided voters (37%) leaning toward it via additive modeling predicting 41–50% final share. Strong Armenia trails at 11.4%, Armenia Alliance at 4.2%, and others below the 5% threshold, wasting votes and boosting the incumbent's plurality path. Recent gains stem from rising Prime Minister Pashinyan approval (47%), improved security perceptions post-U.S. VP Vance visit and TRIPP project, and economic optimism. Party registrations close April 23 amid intensifying campaigns, though opposition consolidation remains elusive.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$103,360Data di fine
7 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Trader consensus heavily favors Civil Contract at 89% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by its consistent poll lead and opposition fragmentation. The latest EVN Report survey (published April 6, fieldwork late February to March) shows Civil Contract at 33.6% support—up 7.5 points from prior waves—with undecided voters (37%) leaning toward it via additive modeling predicting 41–50% final share. Strong Armenia trails at 11.4%, Armenia Alliance at 4.2%, and others below the 5% threshold, wasting votes and boosting the incumbent's plurality path. Recent gains stem from rising Prime Minister Pashinyan approval (47%), improved security perceptions post-U.S. VP Vance visit and TRIPP project, and economic optimism. Party registrations close April 23 amid intensifying campaigns, though opposition consolidation remains elusive.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$103,360Data di fine
7 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Civil Contract at 89% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by its consistent poll lead and opposition fragmentation. The latest EVN Report survey (published April 6, fieldwork late February to March) shows Civil Contract at 33.6% support—up 7.5 points from prior waves—with undecided voters (37%) leaning toward it via additive modeling predicting 41–50% final share. Strong Armenia trails at 11.4%, Armenia Alliance at 4.2%, and others below the 5% threshold, wasting votes and boosting the incumbent's plurality path. Recent gains stem from rising Prime Minister Pashinyan approval (47%), improved security perceptions post-U.S. VP Vance visit and TRIPP project, and economic optimism. Party registrations close April 23 amid intensifying campaigns, though opposition consolidation remains elusive.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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