Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.0–3.9% range, with 3.5–3.9% (29.7%) narrowly leading 3.0–3.4% (24.0%), reflecting balanced bets amid upside risks from energy prices offsetting recent cooling. February 2026 year-over-year CPI eased to 1.8%—below expectations—driven by base effects, but Bank of Canada-preferred core gauges (CPI-trim, CPI-median) held near 2.3%, signaling persistent shelter and services pressures. Surging crude oil and natural gas costs from geopolitical tensions, highlighted in BoC's March communications, are poised to rebound headline figures toward 3%, differentiating higher bins. March CPI data, due April 20, looms as the key swing factor ahead of the Spring Economic Update on April 28.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCanada Inflazione annuale 2026
Canada Inflazione annuale 2026
3,0-3,4% 24.1%
3,5-3,9% 24.1%
2,5–2,9% 13.0%
4,0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 Vol.
$15,800 Vol.
<1,0%
7%
1,0–1,4%
<1%
1,5–1,9%
4%
2,0–2,4%
5%
2,5–2,9%
16%
3,0-3,4%
24%
3,5-3,9%
30%
4,0%+
13%
3,0-3,4% 24.1%
3,5-3,9% 24.1%
2,5–2,9% 13.0%
4,0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 Vol.
$15,800 Vol.
<1,0%
7%
1,0–1,4%
<1%
1,5–1,9%
4%
2,0–2,4%
5%
2,5–2,9%
16%
3,0-3,4%
24%
3,5-3,9%
30%
4,0%+
13%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.0–3.9% range, with 3.5–3.9% (29.7%) narrowly leading 3.0–3.4% (24.0%), reflecting balanced bets amid upside risks from energy prices offsetting recent cooling. February 2026 year-over-year CPI eased to 1.8%—below expectations—driven by base effects, but Bank of Canada-preferred core gauges (CPI-trim, CPI-median) held near 2.3%, signaling persistent shelter and services pressures. Surging crude oil and natural gas costs from geopolitical tensions, highlighted in BoC's March communications, are poised to rebound headline figures toward 3%, differentiating higher bins. March CPI data, due April 20, looms as the key swing factor ahead of the Spring Economic Update on April 28.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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