Eurozone inflation accelerated to a flash 2.5% in March 2026, up from 1.9% in February, driven by Middle East war-fueled energy price surges and services pressures, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19 while revising its 2026 headline inflation forecast upward to 2.6% from 1.9%. ECB President Christine Lagarde highlighted on April 14 that higher energy costs have pushed the economy below baseline projections, with upside inflation risks from commodity markets outweighing growth concerns revised down to 0.9% for 2026. Traders' 76.5% implied probability for at least one ECB rate hike this year reflects this hawkish repricing, markets now pricing a key rate around 2.6% by year-end amid banks forecasting multiple 25-basis-point increases. Next policy meeting looms as a pivotal catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAumento dei tassi della BCE nel 2026?
Aumento dei tassi della BCE nel 2026?
Sì
$93,770 Vol.
$93,770 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$93,770 Vol.
$93,770 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to a flash 2.5% in March 2026, up from 1.9% in February, driven by Middle East war-fueled energy price surges and services pressures, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19 while revising its 2026 headline inflation forecast upward to 2.6% from 1.9%. ECB President Christine Lagarde highlighted on April 14 that higher energy costs have pushed the economy below baseline projections, with upside inflation risks from commodity markets outweighing growth concerns revised down to 0.9% for 2026. Traders' 76.5% implied probability for at least one ECB rate hike this year reflects this hawkish repricing, markets now pricing a key rate around 2.6% by year-end amid banks forecasting multiple 25-basis-point increases. Next policy meeting looms as a pivotal catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Volume
$93,770Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to a flash 2.5% in March 2026, up from 1.9% in February, driven by Middle East war-fueled energy price surges and services pressures, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19 while revising its 2026 headline inflation forecast upward to 2.6% from 1.9%. ECB President Christine Lagarde highlighted on April 14 that higher energy costs have pushed the economy below baseline projections, with upside inflation risks from commodity markets outweighing growth concerns revised down to 0.9% for 2026. Traders' 76.5% implied probability for at least one ECB rate hike this year reflects this hawkish repricing, markets now pricing a key rate around 2.6% by year-end amid banks forecasting multiple 25-basis-point increases. Next policy meeting looms as a pivotal catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$93,770Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation accelerated to a flash 2.5% in March 2026, up from 1.9% in February, driven by Middle East war-fueled energy price surges and services pressures, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19 while revising its 2026 headline inflation forecast upward to 2.6% from 1.9%. ECB President Christine Lagarde highlighted on April 14 that higher energy costs have pushed the economy below baseline projections, with upside inflation risks from commodity markets outweighing growth concerns revised down to 0.9% for 2026. Traders' 76.5% implied probability for at least one ECB rate hike this year reflects this hawkish repricing, markets now pricing a key rate around 2.6% by year-end amid banks forecasting multiple 25-basis-point increases. Next policy meeting looms as a pivotal catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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