Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59.5% implied probability for no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target rate at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid headline inflation rising to 4.59%—a 19-month high—versus the 3% target. The split 3-2 vote and governor's March 30 remarks signaling the easing cycle is "close to finishing" have bolstered hold sentiment, while persistent price pressures temper further cuts (34%) and limit hikes (33.5%). Low unemployment at 2.6% supports growth, but upcoming April CPI and May policy data could sway the closely contested path versus U.S. Federal Reserve dynamics and peso volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 56%
Decrease 40%
Increase 0
Decrease
40%
No change
56%
Increase
31%
No change 56%
Decrease 40%
Increase 0
Decrease
40%
No change
56%
Increase
31%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59.5% implied probability for no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target rate at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid headline inflation rising to 4.59%—a 19-month high—versus the 3% target. The split 3-2 vote and governor's March 30 remarks signaling the easing cycle is "close to finishing" have bolstered hold sentiment, while persistent price pressures temper further cuts (34%) and limit hikes (33.5%). Low unemployment at 2.6% supports growth, but upcoming April CPI and May policy data could sway the closely contested path versus U.S. Federal Reserve dynamics and peso volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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