Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns an 78.5% implied probability to a Banco de la República rate increase at its April 30, 2026 meeting, propelled by March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 5.56% year-over-year—exceeding the 5.47% consensus forecast—alongside rising core measures amid supply-side pressures from food and imports. This follows the board's split 4-2 decision for a 100 basis point hike to 11.25% on March 31, signaling ongoing monetary tightening to anchor expectations above the 3% target. No-change pricing at 18.5% captures growth concerns and government rift post-hike, while a decrease at 0.4% reflects negligible easing prospects. Upcoming April CPI data will be pivotal for policy path revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCentral Bank of Colombia Decision in April?
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?
Increase 79%
No change 19%
Decrease <1%
$29,368 Vol.
$29,368 Vol.
Decrease
<1%
No change
19%
Increase
79%
Increase 79%
No change 19%
Decrease <1%
$29,368 Vol.
$29,368 Vol.
Decrease
<1%
No change
19%
Increase
79%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns an 78.5% implied probability to a Banco de la República rate increase at its April 30, 2026 meeting, propelled by March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 5.56% year-over-year—exceeding the 5.47% consensus forecast—alongside rising core measures amid supply-side pressures from food and imports. This follows the board's split 4-2 decision for a 100 basis point hike to 11.25% on March 31, signaling ongoing monetary tightening to anchor expectations above the 3% target. No-change pricing at 18.5% captures growth concerns and government rift post-hike, while a decrease at 0.4% reflects negligible easing prospects. Upcoming April CPI data will be pivotal for policy path revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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