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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Popolo della Guinea-Bissau

Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Popolo della Guinea-Bissau

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Popolo della Guinea-Bissau

Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Popolo della Guinea-Bissau

FLING 4.1%

FREPASNA 3.6%

PS 3.4%

Platforma Repubblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 3.1%

Polymarket

$158,952 Vol.

FLING 4.1%

FREPASNA 3.6%

PS 3.4%

Platforma Repubblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 3.1%

Polymarket

$158,952 Vol.

FLING

$12,912 Vol.

4%

FREPASNA

$26,731 Vol.

15%

PS

$26,070 Vol.

3%

Platforma Repubblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”

$48,523 Vol.

27%

MUNDO-GB

$22,864 Vol.

3%

PT

$21,853 Vol.

6%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus in the Guinea-Bissau legislative election market due to its status as a broad coalition suited to the proportional representation system across multi-member districts amid the post-2025 transition. The November 2025 general election results were annulled after a coup, leading to a military-backed transitional government under President Horta Inta-A Na Man and ongoing political tensions. A recent constitutional referendum, approved by roughly 70 percent in late August 2026, expands presidential powers, reduces National People's Assembly seats from 102 to 65, and narrows constituencies, reinforcing institutional positioning for aligned coalitions. Trailing parties including FREPASNA, PT, FLING, MUNDO-GB, and PS face constraints from limited regional backing and pressure from ECOWAS and the African Union for credible, inclusive polls ahead of the scheduled December contest. No major recent polling shifts have altered this distribution.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$158,952
Data di fine
23 nov 2025
Mercato aperto
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus in the Guinea-Bissau legislative election market due to its status as a broad coalition suited to the proportional representation system across multi-member districts amid the post-2025 transition. The November 2025 general election results were annulled after a coup, leading to a military-backed transitional government under President Horta Inta-A Na Man and ongoing political tensions. A recent constitutional referendum, approved by roughly 70 percent in late August 2026, expands presidential powers, reduces National People's Assembly seats from 102 to 65, and narrows constituencies, reinforcing institutional positioning for aligned coalitions. Trailing parties including FREPASNA, PT, FLING, MUNDO-GB, and PS face constraints from limited regional backing and pressure from ECOWAS and the African Union for credible, inclusive polls ahead of the scheduled December contest. No major recent polling shifts have altered this distribution.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$158,952
Data di fine
23 nov 2025
Mercato aperto
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Popolo della Guinea-Bissau" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Platforma Repubblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”" a 27%, seguito da "FREPASNA" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 27¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Popolo della Guinea-Bissau" ha generato $159K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 7, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Popolo della Guinea-Bissau", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Popolo della Guinea-Bissau" è "Platforma Repubblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”" a 27%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "FREPASNA" a 15%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Popolo della Guinea-Bissau" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.