Incumbent Hal Rogers secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 77 percent of the vote against multiple challengers. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+32 marks it as the nation’s second-most Republican-leaning seat, a structural advantage reinforced by consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Ned Pillersdorf faces an uphill contest in a region where Republican candidates have dominated for decades. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these entrenched factors, though late developments such as candidate health issues or unusual national political shifts could still alter the November outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKY-05 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
KY-05 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$16,023 Vol.
$16,023 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
94%
Partito Democratico
6%
$16,023 Vol.
$16,023 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$12,675 Vol.
94%
Partito Democratico
$3,347 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hal Rogers secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 77 percent of the vote against multiple challengers. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+32 marks it as the nation’s second-most Republican-leaning seat, a structural advantage reinforced by consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Ned Pillersdorf faces an uphill contest in a region where Republican candidates have dominated for decades. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these entrenched factors, though late developments such as candidate health issues or unusual national political shifts could still alter the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$16,023Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hal Rogers secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 77 percent of the vote against multiple challengers. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+32 marks it as the nation’s second-most Republican-leaning seat, a structural advantage reinforced by consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Ned Pillersdorf faces an uphill contest in a region where Republican candidates have dominated for decades. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these entrenched factors, though late developments such as candidate health issues or unusual national political shifts could still alter the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,023Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Hal Rogers secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 77 percent of the vote against multiple challengers. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+32 marks it as the nation’s second-most Republican-leaning seat, a structural advantage reinforced by consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Ned Pillersdorf faces an uphill contest in a region where Republican candidates have dominated for decades. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these entrenched factors, though late developments such as candidate health issues or unusual national political shifts could still alter the November outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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