Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the leading party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, with odds reflecting polls consistently showing AfD at 34-37% since January. The latest INSA survey for Nordkurier on March 17 placed AfD at 34%, ahead of SPD's 26%, CDU's 12%, and Die Linke at 10%, amid stable trends in this eastern state where AfD has built a stronghold through sustained voter support on migration and economic issues. SPD gains in the March poll narrowed the gap slightly from February's Forsa results (AfD 37%, SPD 23%), but no major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, reinforcing AfD's path to plurality under proportional representation. Upcoming campaign events could influence dynamics ahead of this super-election year contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore
AfD 84%
SPD 11%
CDU 1.8%
Grüne <1%
$199,632 Vol.
$199,632 Vol.

AfD
84%

SPD
11%

CDU
2%

Grüne
<1%

FDP
<1%

Linke
<1%

BSW
<1%

FW
<1%
AfD 84%
SPD 11%
CDU 1.8%
Grüne <1%
$199,632 Vol.
$199,632 Vol.

AfD
84%

SPD
11%

CDU
2%

Grüne
<1%

FDP
<1%

Linke
<1%

BSW
<1%

FW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercato aperto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the leading party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, with odds reflecting polls consistently showing AfD at 34-37% since January. The latest INSA survey for Nordkurier on March 17 placed AfD at 34%, ahead of SPD's 26%, CDU's 12%, and Die Linke at 10%, amid stable trends in this eastern state where AfD has built a stronghold through sustained voter support on migration and economic issues. SPD gains in the March poll narrowed the gap slightly from February's Forsa results (AfD 37%, SPD 23%), but no major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, reinforcing AfD's path to plurality under proportional representation. Upcoming campaign events could influence dynamics ahead of this super-election year contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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