Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the strongest party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent poll leads of 8–14 points over SPD in recent surveys. The latest INSA poll for Nordkurier (March 2026) shows AfD at 34%, SPD 26%, CDU 12%, and Linke 10%, with Grüne, BSW, and FDP near or below the 5% threshold amid opposition fragmentation. AfD's edge stems from sustained eastern Germany strength on migration and economic issues, while SPD's incumbent minority government under Manuela Schwesig faces erosion; no major catalysts have shifted dynamics in the past month, cementing AfD's implied plurality path despite post-election coalition barriers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore
AfD 84%
SPD 11%
CDU 1.8%
Grüne <1%
$199,632 Vol.
$199,632 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
84%
SPD
11%
CDU
2%
Grüne
1%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 84%
SPD 11%
CDU 1.8%
Grüne <1%
$199,632 Vol.
$199,632 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
$5,711 Vol.
84%
SPD
$34,370 Vol.
11%
CDU
$26,439 Vol.
2%
Grüne
$50,910 Vol.
1%
BSW
$10,350 Vol.
1%
FDP
$45,919 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$7,218 Vol.
<1%
FW
$18,715 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the strongest party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent poll leads of 8–14 points over SPD in recent surveys. The latest INSA poll for Nordkurier (March 2026) shows AfD at 34%, SPD 26%, CDU 12%, and Linke 10%, with Grüne, BSW, and FDP near or below the 5% threshold amid opposition fragmentation. AfD's edge stems from sustained eastern Germany strength on migration and economic issues, while SPD's incumbent minority government under Manuela Schwesig faces erosion; no major catalysts have shifted dynamics in the past month, cementing AfD's implied plurality path despite post-election coalition barriers.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercato aperto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$199,632Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the strongest party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent poll leads of 8–14 points over SPD in recent surveys. The latest INSA poll for Nordkurier (March 2026) shows AfD at 34%, SPD 26%, CDU 12%, and Linke 10%, with Grüne, BSW, and FDP near or below the 5% threshold amid opposition fragmentation. AfD's edge stems from sustained eastern Germany strength on migration and economic issues, while SPD's incumbent minority government under Manuela Schwesig faces erosion; no major catalysts have shifted dynamics in the past month, cementing AfD's implied plurality path despite post-election coalition barriers.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$199,632Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the strongest party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent poll leads of 8–14 points over SPD in recent surveys. The latest INSA poll for Nordkurier (March 2026) shows AfD at 34%, SPD 26%, CDU 12%, and Linke 10%, with Grüne, BSW, and FDP near or below the 5% threshold amid opposition fragmentation. AfD's edge stems from sustained eastern Germany strength on migration and economic issues, while SPD's incumbent minority government under Manuela Schwesig faces erosion; no major catalysts have shifted dynamics in the past month, cementing AfD's implied plurality path despite post-election coalition barriers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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