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Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia

Market icon
Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia

Janez Janša 74%

Jernej Vrtovec 11.0%

Anže Logar 6.2%

Robert Golob 4.8%

Polymarket

$2,633,456 Vol.

Janez Janša 74%

Jernej Vrtovec 11.0%

Anže Logar 6.2%

Robert Golob 4.8%

Polymarket

$2,633,456 Vol.

Janez Janša sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia? icon

Janez Janša

$668,070 Vol.

74%

Jernej Vrtovec sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia? icon

Jernej Vrtovec

$71,194 Vol.

11%

Anže Logar sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia? icon

Anže Logar

$953,584 Vol.

6%

Robert Golob sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia? icon

Robert Golob

$618,390 Vol.

5%

Matej Tonin sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia? icon

Matej Tonin

$11,458 Vol.

<1%

Zoran Stevanović sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia? icon

Zoran Stevanović

$110,276 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Prebilič sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia? icon

Vladimir Prebilič

$176,869 Vol.

<1%

Luka Mesec sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia? icon

Luka Mesec

$9,299 Vol.

<1%

Matjaž Han sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia? icon

Matjaž Han

$14,316 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's razor-thin March 22 parliamentary elections, which produced a hung parliament with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing a plurality of 29 seats but no governing majority, trader consensus heavily favors Janez Janša at 74% implied probability to become next prime minister amid center-right coalition momentum. The Slovenian Democratic Party leader's strong positioning stems from his party's near-top vote share, prior experience as three-time premier, and recent unity signals, including the center-right bloc's election of Zoran Stevanović as National Assembly speaker on April 11 using cross-party votes from SDS, New Slovenia (led by Jernej Vrtovec), and Democrats (Anže Logar). President Nataša Pirc Musar is expected to issue the first mandate soon, with failure likely shifting to Janša; Golob's low odds reflect stalled broad coalition talks and lost prior allies.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,633,456
Data di fine
22 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's razor-thin March 22 parliamentary elections, which produced a hung parliament with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing a plurality of 29 seats but no governing majority, trader consensus heavily favors Janez Janša at 74% implied probability to become next prime minister amid center-right coalition momentum. The Slovenian Democratic Party leader's strong positioning stems from his party's near-top vote share, prior experience as three-time premier, and recent unity signals, including the center-right bloc's election of Zoran Stevanović as National Assembly speaker on April 11 using cross-party votes from SDS, New Slovenia (led by Jernej Vrtovec), and Democrats (Anže Logar). President Nataša Pirc Musar is expected to issue the first mandate soon, with failure likely shifting to Janša; Golob's low odds reflect stalled broad coalition talks and lost prior allies.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,633,456
Data di fine
22 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Janez Janša" a 74%, seguito da "Jernej Vrtovec" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 74¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia" ha generato $2.6 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 19, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia" è "Janez Janša" a 74%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jernej Vrtovec" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.