Polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, general election show the Social Democrats (S) leading at around 33% in recent averages, bolstering trader consensus on Magdalena Andersson as the trader-favored next prime minister at 57.5% implied probability, given her strong 36% in an April Ipsos preferred leader survey versus Ulf Kristersson's 16%. Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to a majority right-wing coalition including Sweden Democrats (SD) ministers on migration—building on the March "Sweden Promise" pact—appears to have widened the centre-left bloc's lead to about 9 points, per post-announcement surveys, hurting the incumbent Tidö parties' path in the proportional representation system. Coalition negotiations post-election will determine the Riksdag's simple majority pick, with no snap election signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Primo Ministro della Svezia
Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia
Magdalena Andersson 57%
Ulf Kristersson 33%
Jimmie Åkesson 4.3%
Ebba Busch 1.1%
$1,800,076 Vol.
$1,800,076 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
57%

Ulf Kristersson
33%

Jimmie Åkesson
4%

Ebba Busch
1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 57%
Ulf Kristersson 33%
Jimmie Åkesson 4.3%
Ebba Busch 1.1%
$1,800,076 Vol.
$1,800,076 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
57%

Ulf Kristersson
33%

Jimmie Åkesson
4%

Ebba Busch
1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, general election show the Social Democrats (S) leading at around 33% in recent averages, bolstering trader consensus on Magdalena Andersson as the trader-favored next prime minister at 57.5% implied probability, given her strong 36% in an April Ipsos preferred leader survey versus Ulf Kristersson's 16%. Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to a majority right-wing coalition including Sweden Democrats (SD) ministers on migration—building on the March "Sweden Promise" pact—appears to have widened the centre-left bloc's lead to about 9 points, per post-announcement surveys, hurting the incumbent Tidö parties' path in the proportional representation system. Coalition negotiations post-election will determine the Riksdag's simple majority pick, with no snap election signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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