Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi seeks re-election in New York’s 3rd congressional district, an even partisan voting index seat on Long Island that he flipped in 2024 and held with 51.8 percent. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or better, citing Suozzi’s moderate profile and the absence of a high-profile Republican challenger so far. With the June 23 primary two weeks away, Democratic and Republican nominees remain to be finalized, though no major polling or endorsements have shifted the landscape in recent weeks. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 56 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and historical district performance against a Republican field viewed as less competitive at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Republican Party
15%
Democratic Party
53%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Republican Party
$160 Vol.
15%
Democratic Party
$800 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi seeks re-election in New York’s 3rd congressional district, an even partisan voting index seat on Long Island that he flipped in 2024 and held with 51.8 percent. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or better, citing Suozzi’s moderate profile and the absence of a high-profile Republican challenger so far. With the June 23 primary two weeks away, Democratic and Republican nominees remain to be finalized, though no major polling or endorsements have shifted the landscape in recent weeks. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 56 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and historical district performance against a Republican field viewed as less competitive at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$960Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi seeks re-election in New York’s 3rd congressional district, an even partisan voting index seat on Long Island that he flipped in 2024 and held with 51.8 percent. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or better, citing Suozzi’s moderate profile and the absence of a high-profile Republican challenger so far. With the June 23 primary two weeks away, Democratic and Republican nominees remain to be finalized, though no major polling or endorsements have shifted the landscape in recent weeks. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 56 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and historical district performance against a Republican field viewed as less competitive at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$960Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi seeks re-election in New York’s 3rd congressional district, an even partisan voting index seat on Long Island that he flipped in 2024 and held with 51.8 percent. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or better, citing Suozzi’s moderate profile and the absence of a high-profile Republican challenger so far. With the June 23 primary two weeks away, Democratic and Republican nominees remain to be finalized, though no major polling or endorsements have shifted the landscape in recent weeks. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 56 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and historical district performance against a Republican field viewed as less competitive at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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