Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting his established record and the district's Democratic lean despite Republican presidential performance there in 2024. Ryan faces Republican Jacqueline Auringer in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, supported by his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million raised compared to under $90,000 for his opponent and a July polling lead of 53% to 39%. The mid-Hudson Valley district, encompassing Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster, features a veteran community around West Point that aligns with Ryan's background, alongside demographic shifts favoring Democrats. Auringer's limited resources and the absence of contested primaries constrain Republican prospects. Late national political shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen developments involving either candidate represent the primary paths that could narrow the gap before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-18
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-18
$42,868 Vol.
$42,868 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
93%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$42,868 Vol.
$42,868 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$33,491 Vol.
93%
Partito Repubblicano
$9,377 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting his established record and the district's Democratic lean despite Republican presidential performance there in 2024. Ryan faces Republican Jacqueline Auringer in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, supported by his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million raised compared to under $90,000 for his opponent and a July polling lead of 53% to 39%. The mid-Hudson Valley district, encompassing Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster, features a veteran community around West Point that aligns with Ryan's background, alongside demographic shifts favoring Democrats. Auringer's limited resources and the absence of contested primaries constrain Republican prospects. Late national political shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen developments involving either candidate represent the primary paths that could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$42,868Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting his established record and the district's Democratic lean despite Republican presidential performance there in 2024. Ryan faces Republican Jacqueline Auringer in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, supported by his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million raised compared to under $90,000 for his opponent and a July polling lead of 53% to 39%. The mid-Hudson Valley district, encompassing Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster, features a veteran community around West Point that aligns with Ryan's background, alongside demographic shifts favoring Democrats. Auringer's limited resources and the absence of contested primaries constrain Republican prospects. Late national political shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen developments involving either candidate represent the primary paths that could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,868Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting his established record and the district's Democratic lean despite Republican presidential performance there in 2024. Ryan faces Republican Jacqueline Auringer in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, supported by his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million raised compared to under $90,000 for his opponent and a July polling lead of 53% to 39%. The mid-Hudson Valley district, encompassing Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster, features a veteran community around West Point that aligns with Ryan's background, alongside demographic shifts favoring Democrats. Auringer's limited resources and the absence of contested primaries constrain Republican prospects. Late national political shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen developments involving either candidate represent the primary paths that could narrow the gap before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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