In Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, Keiko Fujimori secured first place with around 17% amid a fragmented field of over 35 candidates, setting up a June 7 runoff. Trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 61% implied probability for third place, as National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) counts exceeding 91% show Roberto Sánchez Palomino narrowly ahead at 12% to López Aliaga's 11.9%, a gap of under 35,000 votes. Rural tallies boosted Sánchez recently, but pending Lima and expatriate ballots—where López Aliaga leads—could flip positions. López Aliaga contests irregularities like ballot delays, urging suspension of second/third proclamations pending National Jury of Elections certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrimo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù: 3° posto
Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù: 3° posto
Rafael López Aliaga 60.1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 38.4%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$558,369 Vol.
$558,369 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
60%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
38%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 60.1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 38.4%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$558,369 Vol.
$558,369 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
$118,515 Vol.
60%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$92,442 Vol.
38%
Jorge Nieto
$113,818 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
$49,543 Vol.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
$10,351 Vol.
<1%
José Luna
$8,597 Vol.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$8,988 Vol.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$7,924 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$8,577 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$9,843 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$14,605 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$8,739 Vol.
<1%
George Forsyth
$11,778 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$8,981 Vol.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$8,550 Vol.
<1%
César Acuña
$8,178 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$9,865 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$11,161 Vol.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$9,308 Vol.
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
$8,215 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$8,555 Vol.
<1%
José Williams
$9,949 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$12,081 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)In Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, Keiko Fujimori secured first place with around 17% amid a fragmented field of over 35 candidates, setting up a June 7 runoff. Trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 61% implied probability for third place, as National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) counts exceeding 91% show Roberto Sánchez Palomino narrowly ahead at 12% to López Aliaga's 11.9%, a gap of under 35,000 votes. Rural tallies boosted Sánchez recently, but pending Lima and expatriate ballots—where López Aliaga leads—could flip positions. López Aliaga contests irregularities like ballot delays, urging suspension of second/third proclamations pending National Jury of Elections certification.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$558,369Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)In Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, Keiko Fujimori secured first place with around 17% amid a fragmented field of over 35 candidates, setting up a June 7 runoff. Trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 61% implied probability for third place, as National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) counts exceeding 91% show Roberto Sánchez Palomino narrowly ahead at 12% to López Aliaga's 11.9%, a gap of under 35,000 votes. Rural tallies boosted Sánchez recently, but pending Lima and expatriate ballots—where López Aliaga leads—could flip positions. López Aliaga contests irregularities like ballot delays, urging suspension of second/third proclamations pending National Jury of Elections certification.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$558,369Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, Keiko Fujimori secured first place with around 17% amid a fragmented field of over 35 candidates, setting up a June 7 runoff. Trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 61% implied probability for third place, as National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) counts exceeding 91% show Roberto Sánchez Palomino narrowly ahead at 12% to López Aliaga's 11.9%, a gap of under 35,000 votes. Rural tallies boosted Sánchez recently, but pending Lima and expatriate ballots—where López Aliaga leads—could flip positions. López Aliaga contests irregularities like ballot delays, urging suspension of second/third proclamations pending National Jury of Elections certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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