Polls consistently show AfD leading the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, at 38-40%, a 13-point margin over CDU at 25-26%, driving trader consensus toward 87% implied probability for AfD as the strongest party. Recent INSA surveys through late March affirm this gap, unchanged since CDU Ministerpräsident Reiner Haseloff's January handover to Sven Schulze amid coalition agreement with SPD and FDP, failing to reverse AfD's East German momentum on migration and economic issues. Die Linke polls at 13% with minor gains, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW linger in single digits. Campaign shifts or turnout in battleground districts could still tip the balance despite AfD's dominance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari Sachsen-Anhalt
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari Sachsen-Anhalt
AfD 87%
CDU 8.6%
BSW 1.0%
FDP 1.0%
$672,298 Vol.
$672,298 Vol.
6 set 2026
AfD
87%
CDU
9%
BSW
1%
FDP
1%
La Sinistra
1%
SPD
1%
I Verdi
<1%
AfD 87%
CDU 8.6%
BSW 1.0%
FDP 1.0%
$672,298 Vol.
$672,298 Vol.
6 set 2026
AfD
$10,363 Vol.
87%
CDU
$467,866 Vol.
9%
BSW
$16,338 Vol.
1%
FDP
$12,033 Vol.
1%
La Sinistra
$33,116 Vol.
1%
SPD
$105,688 Vol.
1%
I Verdi
$26,894 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polls consistently show AfD leading the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, at 38-40%, a 13-point margin over CDU at 25-26%, driving trader consensus toward 87% implied probability for AfD as the strongest party. Recent INSA surveys through late March affirm this gap, unchanged since CDU Ministerpräsident Reiner Haseloff's January handover to Sven Schulze amid coalition agreement with SPD and FDP, failing to reverse AfD's East German momentum on migration and economic issues. Die Linke polls at 13% with minor gains, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW linger in single digits. Campaign shifts or turnout in battleground districts could still tip the balance despite AfD's dominance.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercato aperto: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$672,298Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polls consistently show AfD leading the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, at 38-40%, a 13-point margin over CDU at 25-26%, driving trader consensus toward 87% implied probability for AfD as the strongest party. Recent INSA surveys through late March affirm this gap, unchanged since CDU Ministerpräsident Reiner Haseloff's January handover to Sven Schulze amid coalition agreement with SPD and FDP, failing to reverse AfD's East German momentum on migration and economic issues. Die Linke polls at 13% with minor gains, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW linger in single digits. Campaign shifts or turnout in battleground districts could still tip the balance despite AfD's dominance.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$672,298Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polls consistently show AfD leading the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, at 38-40%, a 13-point margin over CDU at 25-26%, driving trader consensus toward 87% implied probability for AfD as the strongest party. Recent INSA surveys through late March affirm this gap, unchanged since CDU Ministerpräsident Reiner Haseloff's January handover to Sven Schulze amid coalition agreement with SPD and FDP, failing to reverse AfD's East German momentum on migration and economic issues. Die Linke polls at 13% with minor gains, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW linger in single digits. Campaign shifts or turnout in battleground districts could still tip the balance despite AfD's dominance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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