Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) leads Polymarket odds at 88.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting trader consensus on consistent polling dominance. Recent Verian (March 23–April 5) and Kantar-Sifo (early April) surveys show S at 32–33% support, 12–15 points ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17%, with minor SD declines amid stable opposition strength. The Tidö government coalition (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals, SD support) trails in bloc polls at 45–52% versus the centre-left's 48–55%, but S's individual lead persists without major disruptions in the past 30 days. Upcoming campaign events could influence dynamics ahead of Riksdag seat allocation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) 89%
Partito Moderato (M) 5.5%
Democratici Svedesi (SD) 4.9%
Partito Verde (MP) <1%
$1,085,211 Vol.
$1,085,211 Vol.
13 set 2026
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)
89%
Partito Moderato (M)
6%
Democratici Svedesi (SD)
5%
Partito Verde (MP)
1%
Partito della Sinistra (V)
<1%
Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED)
<1%
Partito di Centro (C)
<1%
Democratici Cristiani (KD)
<1%
Liberali (L)
<1%
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) 89%
Partito Moderato (M) 5.5%
Democratici Svedesi (SD) 4.9%
Partito Verde (MP) <1%
$1,085,211 Vol.
$1,085,211 Vol.
13 set 2026
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)
$31,681 Vol.
89%
Partito Moderato (M)
$377,273 Vol.
6%
Democratici Svedesi (SD)
$509,329 Vol.
5%
Partito Verde (MP)
$93,229 Vol.
1%
Partito della Sinistra (V)
$14,895 Vol.
<1%
Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED)
$13,438 Vol.
<1%
Partito di Centro (C)
$16,456 Vol.
<1%
Democratici Cristiani (KD)
$14,382 Vol.
<1%
Liberali (L)
$14,529 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) leads Polymarket odds at 88.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting trader consensus on consistent polling dominance. Recent Verian (March 23–April 5) and Kantar-Sifo (early April) surveys show S at 32–33% support, 12–15 points ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17%, with minor SD declines amid stable opposition strength. The Tidö government coalition (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals, SD support) trails in bloc polls at 45–52% versus the centre-left's 48–55%, but S's individual lead persists without major disruptions in the past 30 days. Upcoming campaign events could influence dynamics ahead of Riksdag seat allocation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$1,085,211Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) leads Polymarket odds at 88.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting trader consensus on consistent polling dominance. Recent Verian (March 23–April 5) and Kantar-Sifo (early April) surveys show S at 32–33% support, 12–15 points ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17%, with minor SD declines amid stable opposition strength. The Tidö government coalition (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals, SD support) trails in bloc polls at 45–52% versus the centre-left's 48–55%, but S's individual lead persists without major disruptions in the past 30 days. Upcoming campaign events could influence dynamics ahead of Riksdag seat allocation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,085,211Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) leads Polymarket odds at 88.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting trader consensus on consistent polling dominance. Recent Verian (March 23–April 5) and Kantar-Sifo (early April) surveys show S at 32–33% support, 12–15 points ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17%, with minor SD declines amid stable opposition strength. The Tidö government coalition (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals, SD support) trails in bloc polls at 45–52% versus the centre-left's 48–55%, but S's individual lead persists without major disruptions in the past 30 days. Upcoming campaign events could influence dynamics ahead of Riksdag seat allocation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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