Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in the Riksdag following the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent polls. The latest Verian survey on April 5 showed S at 32.7%, ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 16.8%, with PolitPro's weighted average at 32.9% for S versus 20.4% SD and 17.5% M, projecting S with around 120 seats. This positioning stems from S's steady opposition strength against the incumbent Moderate-led coalition, bolstered by a recent Kantar-Sifo poll indicating S gains amid SD declines. While coalition negotiations post-election will determine government formation, the market focuses on plurality seats; a dramatic polling reversal or scandal could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the poll leader.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) 89%
Partito Moderato (M) 5.5%
Democratici Svedesi (SD) 4.9%
Partito Verde (MP) <1%
$1,085,211 Vol.
$1,085,211 Vol.
13 set 2026
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)
89%
Partito Moderato (M)
6%
Democratici Svedesi (SD)
5%
Partito Verde (MP)
1%
Partito della Sinistra (V)
<1%
Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED)
<1%
Partito di Centro (C)
<1%
Democratici Cristiani (KD)
<1%
Liberali (L)
<1%
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) 89%
Partito Moderato (M) 5.5%
Democratici Svedesi (SD) 4.9%
Partito Verde (MP) <1%
$1,085,211 Vol.
$1,085,211 Vol.
13 set 2026
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)
$31,681 Vol.
89%
Partito Moderato (M)
$377,273 Vol.
6%
Democratici Svedesi (SD)
$509,329 Vol.
5%
Partito Verde (MP)
$93,229 Vol.
1%
Partito della Sinistra (V)
$14,895 Vol.
<1%
Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED)
$13,438 Vol.
<1%
Partito di Centro (C)
$16,456 Vol.
<1%
Democratici Cristiani (KD)
$14,382 Vol.
<1%
Liberali (L)
$14,529 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in the Riksdag following the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent polls. The latest Verian survey on April 5 showed S at 32.7%, ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 16.8%, with PolitPro's weighted average at 32.9% for S versus 20.4% SD and 17.5% M, projecting S with around 120 seats. This positioning stems from S's steady opposition strength against the incumbent Moderate-led coalition, bolstered by a recent Kantar-Sifo poll indicating S gains amid SD declines. While coalition negotiations post-election will determine government formation, the market focuses on plurality seats; a dramatic polling reversal or scandal could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the poll leader.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$1,085,211Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in the Riksdag following the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent polls. The latest Verian survey on April 5 showed S at 32.7%, ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 16.8%, with PolitPro's weighted average at 32.9% for S versus 20.4% SD and 17.5% M, projecting S with around 120 seats. This positioning stems from S's steady opposition strength against the incumbent Moderate-led coalition, bolstered by a recent Kantar-Sifo poll indicating S gains amid SD declines. While coalition negotiations post-election will determine government formation, the market focuses on plurality seats; a dramatic polling reversal or scandal could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the poll leader.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,085,211Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in the Riksdag following the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent polls. The latest Verian survey on April 5 showed S at 32.7%, ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 16.8%, with PolitPro's weighted average at 32.9% for S versus 20.4% SD and 17.5% M, projecting S with around 120 seats. This positioning stems from S's steady opposition strength against the incumbent Moderate-led coalition, bolstered by a recent Kantar-Sifo poll indicating S gains amid SD declines. While coalition negotiations post-election will determine government formation, the market focuses on plurality seats; a dramatic polling reversal or scandal could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the poll leader.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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